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World Economic Outlook, October 2018

Challenges to Steady Growth

Global growth for 2018-19 is projected to remain steady at its 2017 level, but its pace is less vigorous than projected in April and has become less balanced.

World Economic Outlook, October 2018

Challenges to Steady Growth

Global growth for 2018-19 is projected to remain steady at its 2017 level, but its pace is less vigorous than projected in April and has become less balanced.

A Macro-Model Approach to Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting for Vietnam

A Macro-Model Approach to Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting for Vietnam »

Source: A Macro-Model Approach to Monetary Policy Analysis and Forecasting for Vietnam

Volume/Issue: 2015/273

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Allan Dizioli , and Jochen M. Schmittmann

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 December 2015

ISBN: 9781513595665

Keywords: Bayesian Estimation, exchange rate, interest rates, monetary policy rule, central bank, Forecasting and Simulation, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects),

The paper develops a small New-Keynesian FPAS model for Vietnam. The model closely matches actual data from 2000-2014. We derive an optimal monetary policy rule that minimizes variability of output, inflation, and...

Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Asia

Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Asia »

Source: Monetary Policy Transmission in Emerging Asia : The Role of Banks and the Effects of Financial Globalization

Volume/Issue: 2015/207

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Nasha Ananchotikul , and Dulani Seneviratne

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 28 September 2015

ISBN: 9781513516233

Keywords: Monetary policy transmission, bank lending channel, financial globalization, bank, lending, credit, banking, General, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments

Given the heavy reliance on bank lending as the main source of financing in most Asian economies, banks could potentially play a pivotal role in monetary policy transmission. However, we find that Asia's bank lendi...

Distributional Implications of the VAT Reform in the Philippines

Distributional Implications of the VAT Reform in the Philippines »

Source: Distributional Implications of the VAT Reform in the Philippines

Volume/Issue: 2007/153

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): David Locke Newhouse , and Daria Zakharova

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2007

ISBN: 9781451867176

Keywords: VAT, poverty and social impact analysis, social safety net, targeted transfers, excise taxes, distributional impact, input-output, household consumption, household income, Vat Poverty And Social Impact Analysis,

This paper assesses the distributional impact of the recent VAT reform in the Philippines and evaluates alternative methods to mitigate the effects of the reform on poor households. The reform was progressive and r...

The Growth and Stabilization Properties of Fiscal Policy in Malaysia

The Growth and Stabilization Properties of Fiscal Policy in Malaysia »

Source: The Growth and Stabilization Properties of Fiscal Policy in Malaysia

Volume/Issue: 2013/149

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sohrab Rafiq

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 June 2013

ISBN: 9781484337912

Keywords: Stabilization, Multipliers, Time-variation, government spending, fiscal multipliers, fiscal stimulus, government spending shocks, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects)

This paper examines the size of the fiscal multiplier values generated in Malaysia. The results show that a government spending shock leads to broad positive economic effects. Although, the effectiveness of fiscal...

Can Islamic Banking Increase Financial Inclusion?*

Can Islamic Banking Increase Financial Inclusion?* »

Source: Can Islamic Banking Increase Financial Inclusion?

Volume/Issue: 2015/31

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sami Ben Naceur , Adolfo Barajas , and Alexander Massara

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 February 2015

ISBN: 9781498370813

Keywords: financial inclusion, Financial Possibility Frontier, bank, banking, banks, credit, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects)

The paper analyses existing country-level information on the relationship between the development of Islamic banking and financial inclusion. In Muslim countries-members of the Organization for Islamic Cooperation...

Non-Linear Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Emerging Markets

Non-Linear Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Emerging Markets »

Source: Non-Linear Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Emerging Markets

Volume/Issue: 2016/1

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francesca Caselli , and Agustin Roitman

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 January 2016

ISBN: 9781513578262

Keywords: Non-Linearities, exchange rate, depreciation, inflation targeting, exchange rate movements, Models with Panel Data, General, All Countries,, Exchange rate pass-through, Foreign exchange

This paper estimates exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices in emerging markets focusing on non-linearities and asymmetries. We document non-linearities and asymmetries in the transmission of exchange rate f...

Cost-Benefit Analysis of Leaning Against the Wind

Cost-Benefit Analysis of Leaning Against the Wind »

Source: Cost-Benefit Analysis of Leaning Against the Wind

Volume/Issue: 2016/3

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Lars Svensson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 January 2016

ISBN: 9781498314787

Keywords: macroprudential policy, unemployment, unemployment rate, debt, marginal cost, benchmark, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects), All Countries

“Leaning against the wind” (LAW) with a higher monetary policy interest rate may have benefits in terms of lower real debt growth and associated lower probability of a financial crisis but has costs in terms of hig...

Robust Measures of Core Inflation for Vietnam

Robust Measures of Core Inflation for Vietnam »

Source: Robust Measures of Core Inflation for Vietnam

Volume/Issue: 2016/19

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sanjay Kalra , and Bui Thi Trang Dzung

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 February 2016

ISBN: 9781475521368

Keywords: Core inflation, Monetary Policy, inflation, price changes, properties, state bank, interest, Estimation, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments

The paper develops robust measures of core inflation for Vietnam that can be used in policy making. These core inflation measures (CIMs) are based on an analytical evaluation of the inflation process in Vietnam, an...

The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Transmission Under Capital Inflows

The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Transmission Under Capital Inflows »

Source: The Effectiveness of Monetary Policy Transmission Under Capital Inflows : Evidence from Asia

Volume/Issue: 2012/265

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sonali Jain-Chandra , and Filiz Unsal

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 02 November 2012

ISBN: 9781475525823

Keywords: Monetary policy transmission, dynamic factor model, structural VAR, long-term interest rates, bond yields, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects), Open Economy Macroeconomics,

The effectiveness of the monetary policy transmission mechanism in open economies could be impaired if interest rates are driven primarily by global factors, especially during periods of large capital inflows. The...

II Introduction

II Introduction »

Source: The Role of the Exchange Rate in Inflation-Targeting Emerging Economies : Targeting Emerging Economies

Series: Occasional Papers

Author(s): Anna Nordstrom , Scott Roger , Mark Stone , Seiichi Shimizu , Turgut Kisinbay , and Jorge Restrepo

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 November 2009

ISBN: 9781589067967

Keywords: Developing countries, Central bank role, Emerging markets, Exchange rates, Inflation targeting, exchange rate, foreign exchange, inflation, monetary policy

The exchange rate plays a larger role in monetary policy for inflation-targeting emerging economies than for inflation-targeting advanced economies. Inflation-targeting emerging economies have less flexible...