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Exchange Rate Pass-Through Over the Business Cycle in Singapore

Exchange Rate Pass-Through Over the Business Cycle in Singapore »

Volume/Issue: 2011/141

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Siang Tan , Joey Chew , and Sam Ouliaris

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455266425.001

ISBN: 9781455266425

Keywords: exchange rate, business cycle, consumer price index, output gap, monetary policy, Business Fluctuations, And Cycles, Central Banking, And The Supply Of Money And Credit, international Finance

This paper investigates exchange rate pass-through in Singapore using band-pass spectral regression techniques, allowing for asymmetric effects over the business cycle. First stage pass-through is estimated to be c...

Default, Credit Growth, and Asset Prices

Default, Credit Growth, and Asset Prices »

Volume/Issue: 2006/223

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): C. Goodhart , Miguel Segoviano Basurto , and Boris Hofmann

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2006

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451864830.001

ISBN: 9781451864830

Keywords: Probability of default, macroeconomic shocks, financial surveillance, banking, bank lending, probability, Econometric Modeling: General, Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation

This paper uses a Merton-type estimate of the probability of default (PoD) for the main banks in a sample of Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development and middle-income countries as a proxy for the frag...

Post-Crisis Recovery
			: When Does Increased Fiscal Discipline Work?

Post-Crisis Recovery : When Does Increased Fiscal Discipline Work? »

Volume/Issue: 2006/219

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pritha Mitra

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 October 2006

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451864793.001

ISBN: 9781451864793

Keywords: sovereign debt, foreign debt, long-term debt, budget surplus, General Aggregative Models: General, Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data), Open Economy Macroeconomics, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation,

Emerging market financial crises during the late 1990s were marked by sudden withdrawals of funds by foreign creditors, resulting in production declines. The IMF favored positive signals to potential foreign credit...

Modeling with Limited Data
			: Estimating Potential Growth in Cambodia

Modeling with Limited Data : Estimating Potential Growth in Cambodia »

Volume/Issue: 2012/96

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475502862.001

ISBN: 9781475502862

Keywords: growth diagnostics, export diversification, fixed capital formation, factor accumulation, output growth, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation, One

This paper proposes a framework to analyze long-term potential growth that combines a simple quantitative model with an investigative approach of ‘growth diagnostics'. The framework is used to forecast potential gr...