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Estimating Potential Growth in the Middle East and Central Asia

Estimating Potential Growth in the Middle East and Central Asia »

Volume/Issue: 2015/62

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pritha Mitra , Amr Hosny , Gohar Abajyan , and Mark Fischer

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 March 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475545364.001

ISBN: 9781475545364

Keywords: potential growth, output gap, production function, Middle East, Central Asia., growth, capital, labor, tfp,

The Middle East and Central Asia's economic growth potential is slowing faster than in other emerging and developing regions, dampening hopes for reducing persistent unemployment and improving the region's genera...

Mauritius The Drivers of Growth-Can the Past be Extended?

Mauritius The Drivers of Growth-Can the Past be Extended? »

Volume/Issue: 2014/134

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Katsiaryna Svirydzenka , and Martin Petri

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 July 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498392372.001

ISBN: 9781498392372

Keywords: Growth, growth accounting, tfp, growth rates, labor market, General,

Mauritius's economic performance has been called 'the Mauritian miracle' and the 'success of Africa' (Romer, 1992; Frankel, 2010; Stiglitz, 2011), despite difficult initial conditions that led a Nobel Prize Winner...

Malaysia
			: Financial Sector Assessment Program Housing Market-Technical Note

Malaysia : Financial Sector Assessment Program Housing Market-Technical Note »

Volume/Issue: 2014/99

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 April 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475526196.002

ISBN: 9781475526196

Keywords: financial sector, growth rate, growth rates, moral hazard

This Technical Note on the housing market in Malaysia focuses on price developments in the Malaysian housing market and of its sustainability. Malaysia maintains a one-fourth time series for the housing prices inde...

Cambodia
			: Entering a New Phase of Growth

Cambodia : Entering a New Phase of Growth »

Series: Books

Author(s): Olaf Unteroberdoerster

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 27 February 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475560787.071

ISBN: 9781475560787

Keywords: banking, financial stability, banking system, financial system, financial sector

Cambodia is poised to join a new generation of Asian frontier economies transitioning from low-income to emerging-market. But the path to greater and more shared prosperity requires a solid foundation of sound macr...

Potential Growth in Emerging Asia

Potential Growth in Emerging Asia »

Volume/Issue: 2014/2

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rahul Anand , Kevin Cheng , Sidra Rehman , and Longmei Zhang

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 January 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484345726.001

ISBN: 9781484345726

Keywords: potential growth, emerging Asia, tfp, unemployment, growth rate, growth accounting, Macroeconomic Analyses of Economic Development,

Using three distinct approaches-statistical filtering, production function, and multivariate model- this paper estimates potential growth for China, India, and five ASEAN countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philipp...

Are the Asia and Pacific Small States Different from Other Small States?

Are the Asia and Pacific Small States Different from Other Small States? »

Volume/Issue: 2013/123

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Patrizia Tumbarello , Ezequiel Cabezon , and Yiqun Wu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 22 May 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484339190.001

ISBN: 9781484339190

Keywords: micro states, Pacific islands, growth, volatility, terms of trade, trade openness, current account balance, external shocks, trade deficits, Open Economy Macroeconomics

The small states of the Asia and Pacific region face unique challenges in raising their growth potential and living standards relative to other small states due to their small populations, geographical isolation an...

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2013, Asia and Pacific 
			: Shifting Risks, New Foundations for Growth

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2013, Asia and Pacific : Shifting Risks, New Foundations for Growth »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 April 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781484360835.086

ISBN: 9781484360835

Keywords: capital inflows, fiscal policy, domestic demand, capital flow, public spending

Growth in the Asia-Pacific region shows signs of improving as extreme risks emanating from advanced economies have receded and domestic demand remains resilient, supported by relatively easy financial conditions an...

Workers' Remittances
			: An Overlooked Channel of International Business Cycle Transmission?

Workers' Remittances : An Overlooked Channel of International Business Cycle Transmission? »

Volume/Issue: 2012/251

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Adolfo Barajas , Ralph Chami , Christian Ebeke , and Sampawende Tapsoba

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 October 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475535822.001

ISBN: 9781475535822

Keywords: Business Cycle Synchronization, remittance, business cycle, remittance flows, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

This paper shows that remittance flows significantly increase the business cycle synchronization between remittance-recipient countries and the rest of the world. Using both aggregate and bilateral remittances data...

On the Extrapolation with the Denton Proportional Benchmarking Method

On the Extrapolation with the Denton Proportional Benchmarking Method »

Volume/Issue: 2012/169

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Marco Marini , and Tommaso Di Fonzo

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475505177.001

ISBN: 9781475505177

Keywords: extrapolation, growth rates, growth rate, rate of change, time series, Methodology for Collecting, Estimating, and Organizing Macroeconomic Data, Benchmarking, Movement Preservation,

Statistical offices have often recourse to benchmarking methods for compiling quarterly national accounts (QNA). Benchmarking methods employ quarterly indicator series (i) to distribute annual, more reliable series...

Modeling with Limited Data
			: Estimating Potential Growth in Cambodia

Modeling with Limited Data : Estimating Potential Growth in Cambodia »

Volume/Issue: 2012/96

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475502862.001

ISBN: 9781475502862

Keywords: growth diagnostics, export diversification, fixed capital formation, factor accumulation, output growth, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation, One

This paper proposes a framework to analyze long-term potential growth that combines a simple quantitative model with an investigative approach of ‘growth diagnostics'. The framework is used to forecast potential gr...