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2 Adjustment and Internal-External Balance

2 Adjustment and Internal-External Balance »

Source: Macroeconomic Management : Programs and Policies

Series: Books

Author(s): Chorng-Huey Wong , Mohsin Khan , and Saleh Nsouli

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 April 2002

ISBN: 9781589060944

Keywords: inflation, exchange rate, real exchange rate, monetary policy, exchange rates

This chapter provides a framework for determining the appropriate mix of monetary, fiscal, and exchange rate policies for correcting macroeconomic imbalances. It discusses the design of macroeconomic adjustm...

Are Currency Crises Predictable?1

Are Currency Crises Predictable?1 »

Source: Are Currency Crises Predictable?

Volume/Issue: 1997/159

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rodrigo Valdes , and Ilan Goldfajn

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 1997

ISBN: 9781451857634

Keywords: exchange rate, overvaluation, real exchange rate, currency crises, nominal exchange rate

This paper studies whether exchange rate expectations and overvaluations are predictors of currency crises. The results suggest that overvaluation has predictive power in explaining crises. However, although expect...

Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test

Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test »

Source: IMF Staff papers, Volume 46 No. 2

Volume: 46

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1999

ISBN: 9781451974201

Keywords: exchange rate, real exchange, real exchange rate, current account, international monetary fund

This paper analyzes the predictability of currency crises. The paper evaluates three models for predicting currency crises that were proposed before 1997. Two of the models failed to provide useful forecasts. One m...

4 Are Current Account Imbalances in ASEAN Countries a Problem?

4 Are Current Account Imbalances in ASEAN Countries a Problem? »

Source: Macroeconomic Issues Facing ASEAN Countries

Series: Books

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 18 July 1997

ISBN: 9781557756374

Keywords: current account, exchange rate, fdi, reer, real exchange rate

Since the beginning of the 1990s, current account imbalances in a number of the countries of the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) have widened considerably, generating concern in some quarters...

13 ASEAN in a Regional Perspective

13 ASEAN in a Regional Perspective »

Source: Macroeconomic Issues Facing ASEAN Countries

Series: Books

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 18 July 1997

ISBN: 9781557756374

Keywords: current account, exchange rate, fdi, reer, real exchange rate

ASEAN and Its Pattern of Trade There are two striking pieces of conventional wisdom about the status of regional trading blocs in East Asia. The first is that the only formal regiona...

12 ASEAN in the World Economy

12 ASEAN in the World Economy »

Source: Macroeconomic Issues Facing ASEAN Countries

Series: Books

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 18 July 1997

ISBN: 9781557756374

Keywords: current account, exchange rate, fdi, reer, real exchange rate

Since the economic takeoff of the countries of the Association of South East Asian Nations (ASEAN) began in earnest in the 1970s, their importance in the world economy has increased dramatically (Table 1)....

9 Assessment of the Fiscal Balance

9 Assessment of the Fiscal Balance »

Source: Macroeconomic Management : Programs and Policies

Series: Books

Author(s): Chorng-Huey Wong , Mohsin Khan , and Saleh Nsouli

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 19 April 2002

ISBN: 9781589060944

Keywords: inflation, exchange rate, real exchange rate, monetary policy, exchange rates

One of the primary goals of fiscal policy is to contribute to price stabilization in the context of a sustainable balance of payments. 1 To attain this objective, public sector fi...

Capital Inflows and the Real Exchange Rate

Capital Inflows and the Real Exchange Rate »

Source: Capital Inflows and the Real Exchange Rate : Analytical Framework and Econometric Evidence

Volume/Issue: 1996/137

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pierre-Richard Agénor , and Alexander Hoffmaister

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 1996

ISBN: 9781451855876

Keywords: capital inflows, exchange rate, real exchange rate, capital flows, capital movements

This paper examines the links between capital inflows and the real exchange rate under pegged exchange rates. The analytical framework is described, and a near-VAR model linking capital inflows, interest rate diffe...

9 Capital Market Development and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Malaysia and Thailand

9 Capital Market Development and the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Malaysia and Thailand »

Source: Macroeconomic Issues Facing ASEAN Countries

Series: Books

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 18 July 1997

ISBN: 9781557756374

Keywords: current account, exchange rate, fdi, reer, real exchange rate

Capital market development and financial deregulation in Malaysia and Thailand are opening up new and increased financing opportunities for businesses and households. This paper looks at how capital markets...

Countries’ Repayment Performance Vis-à-Vis the IMF

Countries’ Repayment Performance Vis-à-Vis the IMF »

Source: IMF Staff papers, Volume 46 No. 2

Volume: 46

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1999

ISBN: 9781451974201

Keywords: exchange rate, real exchange, real exchange rate, current account, international monetary fund

This paper analyzes the predictability of currency crises. The paper evaluates three models for predicting currency crises that were proposed before 1997. Two of the models failed to provide useful forecasts. One m...