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  • Keywords: Business Fluctuations x
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Default, Credit Growth, and Asset Prices

Default, Credit Growth, and Asset Prices »

Source: Default, Credit Growth, and Asset Prices

Volume/Issue: 2006/223

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): C. Goodhart , Miguel Segoviano Basurto , and Boris Hofmann

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2006

ISBN: 9781451864830

Keywords: Probability of default, macroeconomic shocks, financial surveillance, banking, bank lending, probability, Econometric Modeling: General, Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation

This paper uses a Merton-type estimate of the probability of default (PoD) for the main banks in a sample of Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development and middle-income countries as a proxy for the frag...

Forecasting Thailand's Core Inflation

Forecasting Thailand's Core Inflation »

Source: Forecasting Thailand's Core Inflation

Volume/Issue: 2004/90

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tao Sun

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2004

ISBN: 9781451851427

Keywords: Core Inflation, cointegration, statistics, equation, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation,

This paper develops an approach for forecasting in Thailand core inflation. The key innovation is to anchor the projections derived from the short-term time-series properties of core inflation to its longer-run evo...

Default, Credit Growth, and Asset Prices

Default, Credit Growth, and Asset Prices »

Volume/Issue: 2006/223

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): C. Goodhart , Miguel Segoviano Basurto , and Boris Hofmann

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2006

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451864830.001

ISBN: 9781451864830

Keywords: Probability of default, macroeconomic shocks, financial surveillance, banking, bank lending, probability, Econometric Modeling: General, Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation

This paper uses a Merton-type estimate of the probability of default (PoD) for the main banks in a sample of Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development and middle-income countries as a proxy for the frag...

Forecasting Thailand's Core Inflation

Forecasting Thailand's Core Inflation »

Volume/Issue: 2004/90

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tao Sun

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2004

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451851427.001

ISBN: 9781451851427

Keywords: Core Inflation, cointegration, statistics, equation, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation,

This paper develops an approach for forecasting in Thailand core inflation. The key innovation is to anchor the projections derived from the short-term time-series properties of core inflation to its longer-run evo...

Post-Crisis Recovery
			: When Does Increased Fiscal Discipline Work?

Post-Crisis Recovery : When Does Increased Fiscal Discipline Work? »

Volume/Issue: 2006/219

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pritha Mitra

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 October 2006

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451864793.001

ISBN: 9781451864793

Keywords: sovereign debt, foreign debt, long-term debt, budget surplus, General Aggregative Models: General, Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data), Open Economy Macroeconomics, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation,

Emerging market financial crises during the late 1990s were marked by sudden withdrawals of funds by foreign creditors, resulting in production declines. The IMF favored positive signals to potential foreign credit...

Post-Crisis Recovery

Post-Crisis Recovery »

Source: Post-Crisis Recovery : When Does Increased Fiscal Discipline Work?

Volume/Issue: 2006/219

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pritha Mitra

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 13 October 2006

ISBN: 9781451864793

Keywords: sovereign debt, foreign debt, long-term debt, budget surplus, General Aggregative Models: General, Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data), Open Economy Macroeconomics, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation,

Emerging market financial crises during the late 1990s were marked by sudden withdrawals of funds by foreign creditors, resulting in production declines. The IMF favored positive signals to potential foreign credit...