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Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test

Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test »

Source: Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test

Volume/Issue: 1998/154

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Catherine Pattillo , and Andrew Berg

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 1998

ISBN: 9781451857207

Keywords: Currency crises, vulnerability indicators, Asian crisis, balance of payments crises, crisis prediction, probability, probabilities, correlation, crisis index, predictions

This paper evaluates three models for predicting currency crises that were proposed before 1997. The idea is to answer the question: if we had been using these models in late 1996, how well armed would we have been...

Assessing Early Warning Systems

Assessing Early Warning Systems »

Source: Assessing Early Warning Systems : How Have they Worked in Practice?

Volume/Issue: 2004/52

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Andrew Berg , Eduardo Borensztein , and Catherine Pattillo

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2004

ISBN: 9781451847284

Keywords: vulnerability indicators, crisis prediction, forecasting accuracy, balance of payments crisis, probability, predictions, currency crisis, probabilities, Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: Forecasting and Simulation,

Since 1999, the IMF's staff has been tracking several early-warning-system (EWS) models of currency crisis. The results have been mixed. One of the long-horizon models has performed well relative to pure guesswork...

Balance of Payments Statistics Yearbook, 2009

Balance of Payments Statistics Yearbook, 2009 »

Series: Balance of Payments Statistics

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Statistics Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 December 2009

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781589068728.044

ISBN: 9781589068728

Keywords: liabilities, debt, portfolio investment, loans, financial derivatives, equity securities, money market, money market instruments, debt securities, bonds

The BOPS Yearbook, usually published in December, contains balance of payments statistics for most of the world, compiled in accordance with the IMF's Balance of Payments Manual. Part 1 includes aggregate as well a...

Discriminating Contagion

Discriminating Contagion »

Source: Discriminating Contagion : An Alternative Explanation of Contagious Currency Crises in Emerging Markets

Volume/Issue: 2000/14

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Pavan Ahluwalia

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2000

ISBN: 9781451843118

Keywords: Contagion, currency crisis, balance-of-payments, exchange rate, speculative, currency crises, real exchange rate

This paper shows that a country’s vulnerability to contagious crises depends on the visible similarities between that country and other countries that are experiencing crises. A country is vulnerable to shif...

The Emerging East Asian Bond Market

The Emerging East Asian Bond Market »

Source: Finance & Development, March 1996

Volume/Issue: 33/1

Series: Finance & Development

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1996

ISBN: 9781451953190

Keywords: payment systems, central bank, payment system, payments, monetary policy

The design of payment systems has important implications for the conduct of monetary policy, the soundness of financial firms, and the functioning of the economy as a whole....

IMF Committee on Balance of Payments Statistics
			: Annual Report 1998

IMF Committee on Balance of Payments Statistics : Annual Report 1998 »

Series: Balance of Payments Statistics

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Statistics Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 14 April 1999

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781557758071.044

ISBN: 9781557758071

Keywords: statistics, survey, balance of payments, reserve assets, current account, external debt, central bank, long-term debt, financial statistics, surveys

The IMF Committee on Balance of Payments Statistics was established in 1992 to promote accuracy and cooperation in the compilation of balance of payments statistics. Membership of the Committee, which advises the I...

Indonesia
			: CPSS Core Principles for Systemically Important Payment Systems

Indonesia : CPSS Core Principles for Systemically Important Payment Systems »

Volume/Issue: 2012/187

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 18 July 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475504934.002

ISBN: 9781475504934

Keywords: payment systems, settlement systems, collateral, banking supervision, risk management

This paper presents key findings of the Financial Sector Assessment Program for Indonesia. The program covers Bank Indonesia's real-time gross settlement (BI-RTGS) system's observance of the Committee on Payment a...

Malaysia
			: Publication of Financial Sector Assessment Program Documentation-Detailed Assessment of Observance of the CPSS-IOSCO Principles for Financial Market Infrastructures

Malaysia : Publication of Financial Sector Assessment Program Documentation-Detailed Assessment of Observance of the CPSS-IOSCO Principles for Financial Market Infrastructures »

Volume/Issue: 2013/58

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 March 2013

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475570991.002

ISBN: 9781475570991

Keywords: credit, payment systems, collateral, csd, pvp

This report is an assessment of the CPSS-IOSCO Principles for Financial Market Infrastructures (PFMI) in Malaysia. The central bank is in charge of the payment and settlement systems and the Securities Commission (...

Philippines
			: Report on Observance of Standards and Codes-Payment Systems

Philippines : Report on Observance of Standards and Codes-Payment Systems »

Volume/Issue: 2005/22

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 January 2005

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451831337.002

ISBN: 9781451831337

Keywords: payment system, cheques, rtgs, banking supervision

This Report evaluates the Observance of Standards and Codes on the Payment Systems for the Philippines. The assessment confirms that the infrastructure for effective supervision has improved considerably in recent...

Philippines
			: Report on the Observance of Standards and Codes (ROSC)-Data Module

Philippines : Report on the Observance of Standards and Codes (ROSC)-Data Module »

Volume/Issue: 2004/281

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 25 August 2004

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451831313.002

ISBN: 9781451831313

Keywords: national accounts, balance of payments, public sector, balance sheet, government finance

This data module of the Report on the Observance of Standards and Codes (ROSC) provides a summary assessment of dissemination practices in the Philippines relative to the Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS)....