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Inflation Reports and Models
			: How Well Do Central Banks Really Write?

Inflation Reports and Models : How Well Do Central Banks Really Write? »

Volume/Issue: 2014/91

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ales Bulir , Jaromír Hurník , and Katerina Smidkova

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 May 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498387613.001

ISBN: 9781498387613

Keywords: Kalman filter, monetary policy communication, inflation, central bank, aggregate demand, Forecasting and Simulation, Forecasting and Simulation,

We offer a novel methodology for assessing the quality of inflation reports. In contrast to the existing literature, which mostly evaluates the formal quality of these reports, we evaluate their economic content by...

Much Ado About Nothing? Estimating the Impact of a U.S. Slowdown on Thai Growth

Much Ado About Nothing? Estimating the Impact of a U.S. Slowdown on Thai Growth »

Volume/Issue: 2008/140

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Shekhar Aiyar , and Ivan Tchakarov

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2008

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451869989.001

ISBN: 9781451869989

Keywords: Growth, U.S. Slowdown, Bayesian Estimation, monetary policy, inflation, confidence intervals, correlation, equation,

External demand was the main driver of growth in Thailand in 2006 and 2007. However, WEO projections indicate moderating foreign demand in 2008, with U.S. growth being revised downwards to reflect the turmoil in ho...

Optimal Price Indices for Targeting Inflation Under Incomplete Markets

Optimal Price Indices for Targeting Inflation Under Incomplete Markets »

Volume/Issue: 2010/200

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rahul Anand , and Eswar Prasad

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455205301.001

ISBN: 9781455205301

Keywords: Monetary Policy Framework, Core Inflation, Headline Inflation, Financial Frictions, Liquidity Constraints, aggregate demand, central bank,

In models with complete markets, targeting core inflation enables monetary policy to maximize welfare by replicating the flexible price equilibrium. We develop a two-sector two-good new-Keynesian model to study the...

Inflation Reports and Models

Inflation Reports and Models »

Source: Inflation Reports and Models : How Well Do Central Banks Really Write?

Volume/Issue: 2014/91

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ales Bulir , Jaromír Hurník , and Katerina Smidkova

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 May 2014

ISBN: 9781498387613

Keywords: Kalman filter, monetary policy communication, inflation, central bank, aggregate demand, Forecasting and Simulation, Forecasting and Simulation,

We offer a novel methodology for assessing the quality of inflation reports. In contrast to the existing literature, which mostly evaluates the formal quality of these reports, we evaluate their economic content by...

Much Ado About Nothing? Estimating the Impact of a U.S. Slowdown on Thai Growth

Much Ado About Nothing? Estimating the Impact of a U.S. Slowdown on Thai Growth »

Source: Much Ado About Nothing? Estimating the Impact of a U.S. Slowdown on Thai Growth

Volume/Issue: 2008/140

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Shekhar Aiyar , and Ivan Tchakarov

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2008

ISBN: 9781451869989

Keywords: Growth, U.S. Slowdown, Bayesian Estimation, monetary policy, inflation, confidence intervals, correlation, equation,

External demand was the main driver of growth in Thailand in 2006 and 2007. However, WEO projections indicate moderating foreign demand in 2008, with U.S. growth being revised downwards to reflect the turmoil in ho...

Optimal Price Indices for Targeting Inflation Under Incomplete Markets

Optimal Price Indices for Targeting Inflation Under Incomplete Markets »

Source: Optimal Price Indices for Targeting Inflation Under Incomplete Markets

Volume/Issue: 2010/200

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rahul Anand , and Eswar Prasad

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2010

ISBN: 9781455205301

Keywords: Monetary Policy Framework, Core Inflation, Headline Inflation, Financial Frictions, Liquidity Constraints, aggregate demand, central bank,

In models with complete markets, targeting core inflation enables monetary policy to maximize welfare by replicating the flexible price equilibrium. We develop a two-sector two-good new-Keynesian model to study the...