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Fiscal Vulnerability and Financial Crises in Emerging Market Economies

Fiscal Vulnerability and Financial Crises in Emerging Market Economies »

Series: Occasional Papers

Author(s): Richard Hemming , Axel Schimmelpfennig , and Michael Kell

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 May 2003

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781589061965.084

ISBN: 9781589061965

Keywords: Emerging markets, fiscal variables, public debt, currency crises, fiscal policy, external debt

Fiscal problems have long been considered a central feature of financial--that is, currency, debt, and banking--crises. This paper addresses four questions: What are the fiscal causes of crises? Which fiscal vulner...

Back Matter

Back Matter »

Source: Fiscal Vulnerability and Financial Crises in Emerging Market Economies

Series: Occasional Papers

Author(s): Richard Hemming , Axel Schimmelpfennig , and Michael Kell

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 May 2003

ISBN: 9781589061965

Keywords: Emerging markets, fiscal variables, public debt, currency crises, fiscal policy, external debt

Fiscal problems have long been considered a central feature of financial--that is, currency, debt, and banking--crises. This paper addresses four questions: What are the fiscal causes of crises? Which fiscal vulner...

Front Matter

Front Matter »

Source: Fiscal Vulnerability and Financial Crises in Emerging Market Economies

Series: Occasional Papers

Author(s): Richard Hemming , Axel Schimmelpfennig , and Michael Kell

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 May 2003

ISBN: 9781589061965

Keywords: Emerging markets, fiscal variables, public debt, currency crises, fiscal policy, external debt

Fiscal problems have long been considered a central feature of financial--that is, currency, debt, and banking--crises. This paper addresses four questions: What are the fiscal causes of crises? Which fiscal vulner...

I Overview

I Overview »

Source: Fiscal Vulnerability and Financial Crises in Emerging Market Economies

Series: Occasional Papers

Author(s): Richard Hemming , Axel Schimmelpfennig , and Michael Kell

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 May 2003

ISBN: 9781589061965

Keywords: Emerging markets, fiscal variables, public debt, currency crises, fiscal policy, external debt

Fiscal problems have long been considered a central feature of financial (i.e., currency, debt, and banking) crises. However, fiscal problems received less attention...

II Background

II Background »

Source: Fiscal Vulnerability and Financial Crises in Emerging Market Economies

Series: Occasional Papers

Author(s): Richard Hemming , Axel Schimmelpfennig , and Michael Kell

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 May 2003

ISBN: 9781589061965

Keywords: Emerging markets, fiscal variables, public debt, currency crises, fiscal policy, external debt

Financial crises in emerging market economies have been the subject of considerable analysis. This section draws on work to date to provide essential background for...

III Data and Event Studies

III Data and Event Studies »

Source: Fiscal Vulnerability and Financial Crises in Emerging Market Economies

Series: Occasional Papers

Author(s): Richard Hemming , Axel Schimmelpfennig , and Michael Kell

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 May 2003

ISBN: 9781589061965

Keywords: Emerging markets, fiscal variables, public debt, currency crises, fiscal policy, external debt

To examine the empirical relationships between fiscal variables and emerging market crises, a large fiscal dataset was constructed. This section describes the datase...

Policy Responses to External Imbalances in Emerging Market Economies
			: Further Empirical Results

Policy Responses to External Imbalances in Emerging Market Economies : Further Empirical Results »

Volume/Issue: 1998/103

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Luis Carranza , and Chorng-Huey Wong

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 1998

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451948189.001

ISBN: 9781451948189

Keywords: capital inflows, emerging market economies, external imbalances, policy designs, causality test, current account, capital account, current account balance, current account deficits

A bivariate vector-autoregression (VAR) model is used to test causal relations between the current account and the capital account in four emerging market economies. The results show that high capital mobility coul...

The Role of Corporate, Legal and Macroeconomic Balance Sheet Indicators in Crisis Detection and Prevention

The Role of Corporate, Legal and Macroeconomic Balance Sheet Indicators in Crisis Detection and Prevention »

Volume/Issue: 2002/59

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Manuel De la Rocha , Roberto Perrelli , and Christian Mulder

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2002

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451847956.001

ISBN: 9781451847956

Keywords: External Vulnerability, Balance Sheet Effects, Corporate Sector, short-term debt, pre-crisis, currency crisis, International Lending and Debt Problems, International Policy Coordination and Transmission, General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation, Corporate Indicators

This study tests the recent balance sheet explanations of external crises in emerging market countries and the role of standards in these crises. Using several unique data sets, it finds that corporate sector balan...

IV EWS Models and the Severity of Currency Crises

IV EWS Models and the Severity of Currency Crises »

Source: Fiscal Vulnerability and Financial Crises in Emerging Market Economies

Series: Occasional Papers

Author(s): Richard Hemming , Axel Schimmelpfennig , and Michael Kell

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 23 May 2003

ISBN: 9781589061965

Keywords: Emerging markets, fiscal variables, public debt, currency crises, fiscal policy, external debt

This section summarizes the results of various statistical and econometric analyses of the dataset described in the previous section. First, the extent to which fisc...

Policy Responses to External Imbalances in Emerging Market Economies

Policy Responses to External Imbalances in Emerging Market Economies »

Source: Policy Responses to External Imbalances in Emerging Market Economies : Further Empirical Results

Volume/Issue: 1998/103

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Luis Carranza , and Chorng-Huey Wong

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 1998

ISBN: 9781451948189

Keywords: capital inflows, emerging market economies, external imbalances, policy designs, causality test, current account, capital account, current account balance, current account deficits

A bivariate vector-autoregression (VAR) model is used to test causal relations between the current account and the capital account in four emerging market economies. The results show that high capital mobility coul...