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Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test

Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test »

Source: Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test

Volume/Issue: 1998/154

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Catherine Pattillo , and Andrew Berg

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 1998

ISBN: 9781451857207

Keywords: Currency crises, vulnerability indicators, Asian crisis, balance of payments crises, crisis prediction, probability, probabilities, correlation, crisis index, predictions

This paper evaluates three models for predicting currency crises that were proposed before 1997. The idea is to answer the question: if we had been using these models in late 1996, how well armed would we have been...

Are Immigrant Remittance Flows a Source of Capital for Development?

Are Immigrant Remittance Flows a Source of Capital for Development? »

Source: IMF Staff Papers, Volume 52, No. 1

Volume: 52

Series: IMF Staff Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 18 April 2005

ISBN: 9781589064195

Keywords: recessions, recession, asian crisis, probability, probabilities, Capital Stock, Convergence (economics), Correlation (statistics), Decomposition Method, Economic Development. Econometric Models

This first issue of IMF Staff Papers for 2005 contains 7 papers that discuss: whether output recovered after the Asian crisis; the value of a country's trading partners to its own economic growth; whether interdepe...

The Asia Crisis

The Asia Crisis »

Source: The Asia Crisis : Causes, Policy Responses, and Outcomes

Volume/Issue: 1999/138

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Andrew Berg

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 1999

ISBN: 9781451855968

Keywords: Asia crisis, interest rates and exchange rates, currency crises, balance of payments crises, exchange rate, banking, banking system, exchange rates, foreign exchange

This paper tells the story of the Asian financial crisis by addressing four questions: What were the causes of the crisis, how did the crisis unfold, what were the policy responses, and what have been the outcomes?...

Characterizing Exchange Rate Regimes in Post-Crisis East Asia

Characterizing Exchange Rate Regimes in Post-Crisis East Asia »

Source: Characterizing Exchange Rate Regimes in Post-Crisis East Asia

Volume/Issue: 2001/152

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Taimur Baig

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2001

ISBN: 9781451857092

Keywords: exchange rate regime, volatility, Asian crisis, exchange rate, exchange rates, random walk, exchange rate volatility, standard deviation, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions,

This paper examines the behavior of the exchange rates of selected emerging market East Asian economies in the aftermath of the Asian crisis. The results suggest that movements in the Asia-5 currencies (Indonesia,...

Contagion, Monsoons, and Domestic Turmoil in Indonesia

Contagion, Monsoons, and Domestic Turmoil in Indonesia »

Source: Contagion, Monsoons, and Domestic Turmoil in Indonesia : A Case Study in the Asian Currency Crisis

Volume/Issue: 2000/60

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sweta Saxena , and Valerie Cerra

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2000

ISBN: 9781451848045

Keywords: Currency crisis, Contagion, Markov-switching models, probability, probabilities, asian crisis, equation

This paper investigates whether Indonesia’s recent currency crisis was due to domestic fundamentals, common external shocks (“monsoons”), or contagion from neighboring countries. Markov-switchi...

Corporate Insolvency Procedures and Bank Behavior

Corporate Insolvency Procedures and Bank Behavior »

Source: Corporate Insolvency Procedures and Bank Behavior : A Study of Selected Asian Economies

Volume/Issue: 1999/135

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Qaizar Hussain , and Clas Wihlborg

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 1999

ISBN: 9781451931310

Keywords: Insolvency procedures, Bankruptcy, Capital structure, Shareholder concentration, Firm performance, Asian crisis, insolvency, correlations, correlation, insolvency law

This paper explores insolvency and debt recovery procedures, and political, legal, and institutional factors influencing financial decisions of corporations and banks during pre-crisis years in six Asian economies....

Corporate Leverage, Bankruptcy, and Output Adjustment in Post-Crisis East Asia1

Corporate Leverage, Bankruptcy, and Output Adjustment in Post-Crisis East Asia1 »

Source: Corporate Leverage, Bankruptcy, and Output Adjustment in Post-Crisis East Asia

Volume/Issue: 1999/143

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Se-Jik Kim , and Mark Stone

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 1999

ISBN: 9781451856323

Keywords: corporate leverage, bankruptcy, capital sales, east Asian crisis, output contractions, capital inflows, capital stock, bonds, gross domestic product, cost of capital

Different levels of corporate leverage are used in this paper to help explain the wide range of post-crisis output adjustment across East Asia. In the model developed here, highly leveraged firms facing a cutoff of...

Corporate Performance and Governance in Malaysia

Corporate Performance and Governance in Malaysia »

Source: Corporate Performance and Governance in Malaysia

Volume/Issue: 2002/152

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Luc Leruth , Yougesh Khatri , and J. Piesse

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2002

ISBN: 9781451857108

Keywords: stochastic frontier, Southeast Asian crisis, corporate sector, functional form, financial crises, asian crisis, Socialist Systems and Transitional Economies: Planning, Coordination, and Reform,

This paper measures corporate sector performance (efficiency) and empirically examines the role of corporate governance. A stochastic frontier with inefficiency effects is fitted to a panel dataset of 31 of the lar...

Corporate Restructuring in East Asia: Promoting Best Practices

Corporate Restructuring in East Asia: Promoting Best Practices »

Source: Finance & Development, March 2001

Volume/Issue: 38/1

Series: Finance & Development

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2001

ISBN: 9781451953299

Keywords: monetary fund, financial crisis, monetary union, asian crisis

For the latest thinking about the international financial system, monetary policy, economic development, poverty reduction, and other critical issues, subscribe to Finance & Development (F&D). This lively quarterl...

Crises, Contagion, and the Closed

Crises, Contagion, and the Closed »

Source: Crises, Contagion, and the Closed : End Country Fund Puzzle

Volume/Issue: 1998/143

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Eduardo Levy Yeyati , and Angel Ubide

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 1998

ISBN: 9781451856316

Keywords: Country Funds, Contagion, Financial Crisis, investors, asian crisis, foreign investors, crisis countries

This paper analyzes the behavior of closed-end country fund discounts, including evidence from the Mexican and East Asian crises. We find that the ratio of fund prices to their fundamental value increases dramatica...