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Balance Sheets, the Transfer Problem, and Financial Crises

Balance Sheets, the Transfer Problem, and Financial Crises »

Source: International Finance and Financial Crises : Essays in Honor of Robert P. Flood Jr.

Series: Books

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 January 2000

ISBN: 9781557758347

Keywords: inflation, risk premium, monetary policy, equation, fdi

PAUL KRUGMAN MIT, Department of Economics, Cambridge, MA 02139 krugman@mit.edu Abstract In a world of high capital mobility, the thr...

Contagion, Monsoons, and Domestic Turmoil in Indonesia

Contagion, Monsoons, and Domestic Turmoil in Indonesia »

Source: Contagion, Monsoons, and Domestic Turmoil in Indonesia : A Case Study in the Asian Currency Crisis

Volume/Issue: 2000/60

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sweta Saxena , and Valerie Cerra

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2000

ISBN: 9781451848045

Keywords: Currency crisis, Contagion, Markov-switching models, probability, probabilities, asian crisis, equation

This paper investigates whether Indonesia’s recent currency crisis was due to domestic fundamentals, common external shocks (“monsoons”), or contagion from neighboring countries. Markov-switchi...

Cross-country Consumption Risk Sharing, a Long-run Perspective

Cross-country Consumption Risk Sharing, a Long-run Perspective »

Source: Cross-country Consumption Risk Sharing, a Long-run Perspective

Volume/Issue: 2010/64

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Zhaogang Qiao

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2010

ISBN: 9781451982084

Keywords: Consumption risk sharing, Intertemporal smoothing, Nonstationary panel analysis, Cointegration, risk sharing, equation, time series, statistic, Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics: General, International Economics: General,

This paper estimates an empirical nonstationary panel regression model that tests long-run consumption risk sharing across a sample of OECD and emerging market (EM) countries. This is in contrast to the existing li...

Currency Crises and Uncertainty About Fundamentals

Currency Crises and Uncertainty About Fundamentals »

Source: Currency Crises and Uncertainty About Fundamentals

Volume/Issue: 2002/3

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): M. Sbracia , and Alessandro Prati

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2002

ISBN: 9781451841916

Keywords: Speculative attack, exchange rate crisis, public and private information, exchange rate, exchange rate pressures, probability, equation, predictions, Asymmetric and Private Information,

This paper studies how uncertainty about fundamentals contributed to currency crises from both a theoretical and an empirical perspective. We find evidenceCbased on a monthly dataset of Consensus forecasts for six...

Demand for M2 in an Emerging-Market Economy

Demand for M2 in an Emerging-Market Economy »

Source: Demand for M2 in an Emerging-Market Economy : An Error-Correction Model for Malaysia

Volume/Issue: 1999/173

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Subramanian Sriram

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 1999

ISBN: 9781451858617

Keywords: Asia, financial system, money demand, cointegration, error-correction, inflation, equation

This paper analyses demand for M2 in Malaysia from August 1973 to December 1995 under both the closed- and open-economy framework. Based on the cointegration and weak-exogeneity test results, short-run dynamic erro...

The Demand for Money in Developing Countries

The Demand for Money in Developing Countries »

Source: The Demand for Money in Developing Countries : Assessing the Role of Financial innovation

Volume/Issue: 1991/45

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jose De Gregorio , Peter Wickham , Patricio Arrau , and Carmen Reinhart

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 1991

ISBN: 9781451974218

Keywords: money demand, equation, cointegration, inflation

Traditional specifications of money demand have been commonly plagued by persistent overprediction, implausible parameter estimates, and highly autocorrelated errors. This paper argues that some of those problems s...

Did Output Recover From the Asian Crisis?

Did Output Recover From the Asian Crisis? »

Source: Did Output Recover From the Asian Crisis?

Volume/Issue: 2003/48

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Valerie Cerra , and Sweta Saxena

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2003

ISBN: 9781451846751

Keywords: Crisis, Recovery, Hong Kong, Korea, recessions, asian crisis, recession, probability, probabilities, International Finance: Other

This paper investigates the extent to which output has recovered from the Asian crisis. A regime-switching approach that introduces two state variables is used to decompose recessions in a set of six Asian countrie...

Dread of Depreciation

Dread of Depreciation »

Source: Dread of Depreciation : Measuring Real Exchange Rate Interventions

Volume/Issue: 2002/63

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jayasri Dutta

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2002

ISBN: 9781451848434

Keywords: interventions, parity conditions, exchange rates, exchange rate, real exchange rate, equation,

We specify an empirical framework to detect the effects of official intervention on real exchange rate dynamics. Using data for 27 advanced and emerging market economies, we find evidence that interventions are a n...

An Econometric Rational Expectations Macroeconomic Model for Developing Countries with Capital Controls

An Econometric Rational Expectations Macroeconomic Model for Developing Countries with Capital Controls »

Source: An Econometric Rational Expectations Macroeconomic Model for Developing Countries with Capital Controls

Volume/Issue: 1990/11

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 1990

ISBN: 9781451925869

Keywords: capital mobility, equation, equations, statistics, correlation

A small macroeconomic model based on familiar theoretical considerations is developed and estimated using data from 31 developing countries. Efficient estimation techniques are used to control for country heterogen...

Evidenceon the Fiscal and Macroeconomic Impact of Privatization

Evidenceon the Fiscal and Macroeconomic Impact of Privatization »

Source: Evidenceon the Fiscal and Macroeconomic Impact of Privatization

Volume/Issue: 2000/130

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Steven Barnett

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2000

ISBN: 9781451855180

Keywords: privatization proceeds, impact of privatization, equation, samples

This paper empirically investigates the relationship between privatization and measures of fiscal and macroeconomic performance. One of the main findings is that privatization proceeds transferred to the budget ten...