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Currency Crises and Uncertainty About Fundamentals

Currency Crises and Uncertainty About Fundamentals »

Source: Currency Crises and Uncertainty About Fundamentals

Volume/Issue: 2002/3

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): M. Sbracia , and Alessandro Prati

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2002

ISBN: 9781451841916

Keywords: Speculative attack, exchange rate crisis, public and private information, exchange rate, exchange rate pressures, probability, equation, predictions, Asymmetric and Private Information,

This paper studies how uncertainty about fundamentals contributed to currency crises from both a theoretical and an empirical perspective. We find evidenceCbased on a monthly dataset of Consensus forecasts for six...

Demand for M2 in an Emerging-Market Economy

Demand for M2 in an Emerging-Market Economy »

Source: Demand for M2 in an Emerging-Market Economy : An Error-Correction Model for Malaysia

Volume/Issue: 1999/173

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Subramanian Sriram

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 1999

ISBN: 9781451858617

Keywords: Asia, financial system, money demand, cointegration, error-correction, inflation, equation

This paper analyses demand for M2 in Malaysia from August 1973 to December 1995 under both the closed- and open-economy framework. Based on the cointegration and weak-exogeneity test results, short-run dynamic erro...

The Demand for Money in Developing Countries

The Demand for Money in Developing Countries »

Source: The Demand for Money in Developing Countries : Assessing the Role of Financial innovation

Volume/Issue: 1991/45

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jose De Gregorio , Peter Wickham , Patricio Arrau , and Carmen Reinhart

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 1991

ISBN: 9781451974218

Keywords: money demand, equation, cointegration, inflation

Traditional specifications of money demand have been commonly plagued by persistent overprediction, implausible parameter estimates, and highly autocorrelated errors. This paper argues that some of those problems s...

Dread of Depreciation

Dread of Depreciation »

Source: Dread of Depreciation : Measuring Real Exchange Rate Interventions

Volume/Issue: 2002/63

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jayasri Dutta

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2002

ISBN: 9781451848434

Keywords: interventions, parity conditions, exchange rates, exchange rate, real exchange rate, equation,

We specify an empirical framework to detect the effects of official intervention on real exchange rate dynamics. Using data for 27 advanced and emerging market economies, we find evidence that interventions are a n...

Foreign Currency Credit Ratings for Emerging Market Economies

Foreign Currency Credit Ratings for Emerging Market Economies »

Source: Foreign Currency Credit Ratings for Emerging Market Economies

Volume/Issue: 2001/191

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Roberto Perrelli , and Christian Mulder

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2001

ISBN: 9781451859713

Keywords: foreign currency credit ratings, economic crises., statistics, autocorrelation, equation, short-term debt, covariance, International Lending and Debt Problems, General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation, Economic Crises,

This paper examines how ratings for emerging market economies have been set. Given the high degree of autocorrelation in ratings, we use estimators that yield consistent parameters in the presence of such correlati...

Foreign Currency Deposits and the Demand for Money in Developing Countries

Foreign Currency Deposits and the Demand for Money in Developing Countries »

Source: Foreign Currency Deposits and the Demand for Money in Developing Countries

Volume/Issue: 1992/1

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Mohsin Khan , and Pierre-Richard Agénor

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 1992

ISBN: 9781451931303

Keywords: foreign currency, equation, statistics, statistic, forward-looking model

This paper examines the relative demands for domestic and foreign currency deposits by residents of developing countries. A dynamic currency substitution model that incorporates forward-looking rational expectation...

How Intensive Is Competition in the Emerging Markets? An Analysis of Corporate Rates of Return from Nine Emerging Markets

How Intensive Is Competition in the Emerging Markets? An Analysis of Corporate Rates of Return from Nine Emerging Markets »

Source: How Intensive Is Competition in the Emerging Markets? An Analysis of Corporate Rates of Return from Nine Emerging Markets

Volume/Issue: 1999/32

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ajit Singh , Rudolph Matthias , and Jack Glen

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 1999

ISBN: 9781451845099

Keywords: Corporate Rates of Return, Intensity of Competition, Emerging Markets, standard deviation, equation, statistic

This large empirical study of corporate profitability in emerging markets during the 1980s and 1990s measures the intensity of competition. Data on corporate rates of return, profit margins, and output-capital rati...

A Latent Factor Model with Global, Country, and Industry Shocks for International Stock Returns

A Latent Factor Model with Global, Country, and Industry Shocks for International Stock Returns »

Volume/Issue: 2005/52

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Marco Del Negro , and Robin Brooks

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2005

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451860719.001

ISBN: 9781451860719

Keywords: Diversification, risk, stock returns, standard deviation, equation, standard deviations, correlation,

We estimate a latent factor model that decomposes international stock returns into global, country-, and industry-specific shocks and allows for stock-specific exposures to these shocks. We find that across stocks...

Currency Crises and Uncertainty About Fundamentals

Currency Crises and Uncertainty About Fundamentals »

Volume/Issue: 2002/3

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): M. Sbracia , and Alessandro Prati

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2002

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451841916.001

ISBN: 9781451841916

Keywords: Speculative attack, exchange rate crisis, public and private information, exchange rate, exchange rate pressures, probability, equation, predictions, Asymmetric and Private Information,

This paper studies how uncertainty about fundamentals contributed to currency crises from both a theoretical and an empirical perspective. We find evidenceCbased on a monthly dataset of Consensus forecasts for six...

Demand for M2 in an Emerging-Market Economy
			: An Error-Correction Model for Malaysia

Demand for M2 in an Emerging-Market Economy : An Error-Correction Model for Malaysia »

Volume/Issue: 1999/173

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Subramanian Sriram

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 1999

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451858617.001

ISBN: 9781451858617

Keywords: Asia, financial system, money demand, cointegration, error-correction, inflation, equation

This paper analyses demand for M2 in Malaysia from August 1973 to December 1995 under both the closed- and open-economy framework. Based on the cointegration and weak-exogeneity test results, short-run dynamic erro...