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Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test

Are Currency Crises Predictable? A Test »

Volume/Issue: 1998/154

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Catherine Pattillo , and Andrew Berg

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 1998

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451857207.001

ISBN: 9781451857207

Keywords: Currency crises, vulnerability indicators, Asian crisis, balance of payments crises, crisis prediction, probability, probabilities, correlation, crisis index, predictions

This paper evaluates three models for predicting currency crises that were proposed before 1997. The idea is to answer the question: if we had been using these models in late 1996, how well armed would we have been...

The Optimal Level of International Reserves for Emerging Market Countries
			: Formulas and Applications

The Optimal Level of International Reserves for Emerging Market Countries : Formulas and Applications »

Volume/Issue: 2006/229

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Romain Ranciere , and Olivier Jeanne

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2006

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451864892.001

ISBN: 9781451864892

Keywords: Balance of Payments Crises, probability, domestic absorption, calibration, short-term debt, external debt,

We present a model of the optimal level of international reserves for a small open economy that is vulnerable to sudden stops in capital flows. Reserves allow the country to smooth domestic absorption in response t...

Rapport Annuel 1997

Rapport Annuel 1997 »

Series: Annual Report of the Executive Board

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 October 1997

Language: French

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451949957.011

ISBN: 9781451949957

Keywords: inflation, current account, current account balance, central bank, monetary policy, current account deficit, balance of payments, external debt, general resources account, repurchases

Annual Report of the Executive Board for the financial year ended April 30, 1997....

Back Matter

Back Matter »

Source: Rapport Annuel 1997

Series: Annual Report of the Executive Board

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 October 1997

Language: French

ISBN: 9781451949957

Keywords: inflation, current account, current account balance, central bank, monetary policy, current account deficit, balance of payments, external debt, general resources account, repurchases

Annual Report of the Executive Board for the financial year ended April 30, 1997....

Front Matter

Front Matter »

Source: Rapport Annuel 1997

Series: Annual Report of the Executive Board

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 October 1997

Language: French

ISBN: 9781451949957

Keywords: inflation, current account, current account balance, central bank, monetary policy, current account deficit, balance of payments, external debt, general resources account, repurchases

Annual Report of the Executive Board for the financial year ended April 30, 1997....

IV Conclusions

IV Conclusions »

Source: The Design of IMF-Supported Programs

Series: Occasional Papers

Author(s): Charalambos Christofides , Atish Ghosh , Uma Ramakrishnan , Alun Thomas , Laura Papi , Juan Zalduendo , and Jun Kim

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 September 2005

ISBN: 9781589061934

Keywords: current account, current account balance, inflation, capital account, balance of payments

In recent years, the circumstances under which members seek IMF support have evolved considerably, raising the question of whether the process of policy formulation and program design remains appropriate and...

IV Fiscal Policy

IV Fiscal Policy »

Source: The Design of IMF-Supported Programs

Series: Occasional Papers

Author(s): Charalambos Christofides , Atish Ghosh , Uma Ramakrishnan , Alun Thomas , Laura Papi , Juan Zalduendo , and Jun Kim

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 September 2005

ISBN: 9781589061934

Keywords: current account, current account balance, inflation, capital account, balance of payments

Fiscal adjustment often forms a key element of IMF-supported programs for a variety of reasons, including the need to foster orderly external adjustment, to underpin disinflation and macroeconomic stabilizat...

IV Other Macroeconomic Objectives

IV Other Macroeconomic Objectives »

Source: The Design of IMF-Supported Programs

Series: Occasional Papers

Author(s): Charalambos Christofides , Atish Ghosh , Uma Ramakrishnan , Alun Thomas , Laura Papi , Juan Zalduendo , and Jun Kim

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 September 2005

ISBN: 9781589061934

Keywords: current account, current account balance, inflation, capital account, balance of payments

External adjustment is only one objective—albeit a crucial one—of IMF-supported programs. National authorities, in formulating their reform or adjustment program, may have a variety of other macroeconomic ob...

L’Économie Mondiale

L’Économie Mondiale »

Source: Rapport Annuel 1997

Series: Annual Report of the Executive Board

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 October 1997

Language: French

ISBN: 9781451949957

Keywords: inflation, current account, current account balance, central bank, monetary policy, current account deficit, balance of payments, external debt, general resources account, repurchases

...

le FMI en 1996/97

le FMI en 1996/97 »

Source: Rapport Annuel 1997

Series: Annual Report of the Executive Board

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 October 1997

Language: French

ISBN: 9781451949957

Keywords: inflation, current account, current account balance, central bank, monetary policy, current account deficit, balance of payments, external debt, general resources account, repurchases

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