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Inflation Reports and Models
			: How Well Do Central Banks Really Write?

Inflation Reports and Models : How Well Do Central Banks Really Write? »

Volume/Issue: 2014/91

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ales Bulir , Jaromír Hurník , and Katerina Smidkova

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 May 2014

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498387613.001

ISBN: 9781498387613

Keywords: Kalman filter, monetary policy communication, inflation, central bank, aggregate demand, Forecasting and Simulation, Forecasting and Simulation,

We offer a novel methodology for assessing the quality of inflation reports. In contrast to the existing literature, which mostly evaluates the formal quality of these reports, we evaluate their economic content by...

Inflation Reports and Models

Inflation Reports and Models »

Source: Inflation Reports and Models : How Well Do Central Banks Really Write?

Volume/Issue: 2014/91

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ales Bulir , Jaromír Hurník , and Katerina Smidkova

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 May 2014

ISBN: 9781498387613

Keywords: Kalman filter, monetary policy communication, inflation, central bank, aggregate demand, Forecasting and Simulation, Forecasting and Simulation,

We offer a novel methodology for assessing the quality of inflation reports. In contrast to the existing literature, which mostly evaluates the formal quality of these reports, we evaluate their economic content by...

Chapter 14. Distributional Consequences and Policy Responses to Food Price Inflation in Developing Asia

Chapter 14. Distributional Consequences and Policy Responses to Food Price Inflation in Developing Asia »

Source: Commodity Price Volatility and Inclusive Growth in Low-Income Countries

Series: Books

Author(s): Rabah Arezki , Catherine Pattillo , Marc Quintyn , and Min Zhu

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 October 2012

ISBN: 9781616353797

Keywords: hedging, fiscal policy, inflation, terms of trade, food prices

Introduction Rapidly rising food prices are not just a macroeconomic problem. By directly influencing poverty levels, they create a political challenge for developing countries. As t...

Clarity of Central Bank Communication About Inflation

Clarity of Central Bank Communication About Inflation »

Source: Clarity of Central Bank Communication About Inflation

Volume/Issue: 2012/9

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ales Bulir , David-Jan Jansen , and Martin Cihak

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2012

ISBN: 9781463931148

Keywords: communication, clarity, central bank, inflation target,

This paper examines whether the clarity of central bank communication about inflation has changed with the economic environment. We use readability statistics and content analysis to study the clarity of communicat...

Clarity of Central Bank Communication About Inflation

Clarity of Central Bank Communication About Inflation »

Volume/Issue: 2012/9

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ales Bulir , David-Jan Jansen , and Martin Cihak

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2012

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781463931148.001

ISBN: 9781463931148

Keywords: communication, clarity, central bank, inflation target,

This paper examines whether the clarity of central bank communication about inflation has changed with the economic environment. We use readability statistics and content analysis to study the clarity of communicat...

Hybrid Inflation Targeting Regimes

Hybrid Inflation Targeting Regimes »

Source: Hybrid Inflation Targeting Regimes

Volume/Issue: 2009/234

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Carlos Garcia , Jorge Restrepo , and Scott Roger

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2009

ISBN: 9781451873818

Keywords: exchange rate, inflation, real exchange rate,

This paper uses a DSGE model to examine whether including the exchange rate explicitly in the central bank's policy reaction function can improve macroeconomic performance. It is found that including an element of...

Hybrid Inflation Targeting Regimes

Hybrid Inflation Targeting Regimes »

Volume/Issue: 2009/234

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Carlos Garcia , Jorge Restrepo , and Scott Roger

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2009

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451873818.001

ISBN: 9781451873818

Keywords: exchange rate, inflation, real exchange rate,

This paper uses a DSGE model to examine whether including the exchange rate explicitly in the central bank's policy reaction function can improve macroeconomic performance. It is found that including an element of...

Inflation Targeting and Communication
			: It Pays Off to Read Inflation Reports

Inflation Targeting and Communication : It Pays Off to Read Inflation Reports »

Volume/Issue: 2008/234

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Katerina Smídková , Viktor Kotlán , David Navrátil , and Ales Bulir

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2008

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451870923.001

ISBN: 9781451870923

Keywords: inflation, central bank, inflation forecasts

Inflation-targeting central banks have a respectable track record at explaining their policy actions and corresponding inflation outturns. Using a simple forward-looking policy rule and an assessment of inflation r...

Inflation Targeting and Communication

Inflation Targeting and Communication »

Source: Inflation Targeting and Communication : It Pays Off to Read Inflation Reports

Volume/Issue: 2008/234

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Katerina Smídková , Viktor Kotlán , David Navrátil , and Ales Bulir

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2008

ISBN: 9781451870923

Keywords: inflation, central bank, inflation forecasts

Inflation-targeting central banks have a respectable track record at explaining their policy actions and corresponding inflation outturns. Using a simple forward-looking policy rule and an assessment of inflation r...

Long-Run Exchange Rate Dynamics
			: A Panel Data Study

Long-Run Exchange Rate Dynamics : A Panel Data Study »

Volume/Issue: 1999/50

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Karl Habermeier , and Mario Mesquita

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 1999

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451846959.001

ISBN: 9781451846959

Keywords: Exchange Rates, Panel Data Econometrics, Purchasing Power Parity (PPP), Balassa-Samuelson Effect, Terms of Trade, exchange rate, real exchange rates, real exchange rate, inflation

Long-run movements of real exchange rates are studied using a panel data set comprising 51 economies. The purchasing power parity hypothesis (PPP) is examined first using unit root tests. It is found that PPP does...