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Predicting Emerging Market Currency Crashes

Predicting Emerging Market Currency Crashes »

Source: Predicting Emerging Market Currency Crashes

Volume/Issue: 2002/7

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): W. Perraudin , Manmohan Kumar , and Uma Moorthy

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2002

ISBN: 9781451842425

Keywords: emerging market crises, trading strategies, probability, exchange rate, probabilities, foreign exchange, forecasting

This paper assesses the extent to which crashes in emerging market currencies are predictable using simple logit models based on lagged macroeconomic and financial data. To evaluate our model, we calculate trading...

Trade Policy with Heterogeneous Traders

Trade Policy with Heterogeneous Traders »

Source: Trade Policy with Heterogeneous Traders : Do Quotas Get a Bum Rap?

Volume/Issue: 2007/92

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kala Krishna , and Ling Tan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2007

ISBN: 9781451866568

Keywords: firm heterogeneity, entry, free trade, domestic market, free entry, quota rents, world market, Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance: General,

This paper considers the effects of trade policy-tariffs and quotas-when importing is done by competitive traders who are identical ex ante but differ ex post. We show that the standard equivalence results no longe...

Predicting Emerging Market Currency Crashes

Predicting Emerging Market Currency Crashes »

Volume/Issue: 2002/7

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): W. Perraudin , Manmohan Kumar , and Uma Moorthy

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2002

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451842425.001

ISBN: 9781451842425

Keywords: emerging market crises, trading strategies, probability, exchange rate, probabilities, foreign exchange, forecasting

This paper assesses the extent to which crashes in emerging market currencies are predictable using simple logit models based on lagged macroeconomic and financial data. To evaluate our model, we calculate trading...

Trade Policy with Heterogeneous Traders
			: Do Quotas Get a Bum Rap?

Trade Policy with Heterogeneous Traders : Do Quotas Get a Bum Rap? »

Volume/Issue: 2007/92

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kala Krishna , and Ling Tan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2007

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451866568.001

ISBN: 9781451866568

Keywords: firm heterogeneity, entry, free trade, domestic market, free entry, quota rents, world market, Market Structure, Firm Strategy, and Market Performance: General,

This paper considers the effects of trade policy-tariffs and quotas-when importing is done by competitive traders who are identical ex ante but differ ex post. We show that the standard equivalence results no longe...