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Soft Power and Exchange Rate Volatility

Soft Power and Exchange Rate Volatility »

Source: Soft Power and Exchange Rate Volatility

Volume/Issue: 2015/63

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Serhan Cevik , Richard Harris , and Fatih Yilmaz

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 20 March 2015

ISBN: 9781475530520

Keywords: Exchange rate volatility, exchange, exchange rate, volatility, exchange rates, trade, Time-Series Models, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions,

Standard models-based exclusively on macro-financial variables-have made little progress in explaining the behavior of exchange rates. In this paper, we introduce a neglected set of 'soft power' factors capturing...

Parametric Distributional Flexibility and Conditional Variance Models with an Application to Hourly Exchange Rates

Parametric Distributional Flexibility and Conditional Variance Models with an Application to Hourly Exchange Rates »

Source: Parametric Distributional Flexibility and Conditional Variance Models with an Application to Hourly Exchange Rates

Volume/Issue: 1998/29

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jenny Lye

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 1998

ISBN: 9781451844771

Keywords: ARCH, Generalized Student t Distributions, Modeling Variance, Exchange Rates, exchange rate, skewness, normal distribution, statistics

This paper builds on the ARCH approach for modeling distributions with time-varying conditional variance by using the generalized Student t distribution. The distribution offers flexibility in modeling both leptoku...

Real Effects of Common Currencies in East Asia

Real Effects of Common Currencies in East Asia »

Source: Real Effects of Common Currencies in East Asia

Volume/Issue: 2007/166

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kazuko Shirono

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2007

ISBN: 9781451867305

Keywords: Currency Union, Gravity Model, exchange rate, bilateral trade, currency unions, trade costs, exchange rate policies,

Since the 1997 Asian currency crisis, new interest has emerged in the formation of a common currency area in East Asia. This paper provides estimates of trade and welfare effects of East Asian currency unions, usin...

An Assessment of Malaysian Monetary Policy During the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-09

An Assessment of Malaysian Monetary Policy During the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-09 »

Source: An Assessment of Malaysian Monetary Policy During the Global Financial Crisis of 2008-09

Volume/Issue: 2012/35

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Selim Elekdag , Subir Lall , and Harun Alp

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2012

ISBN: 9781463933203

Keywords: financial accelerator, Bayesian estimation, DSGE model, exchange rate, exchange rate regime, exchange rate flexibility, fixed exchange rate regime, Bayesian Analysis, And The Supply Of Money And Credit,

Malaysia was hit hard by the global financial crisis of 2008-09. Anticipating the downturn that would follow the episode of extreme financial turbulence, Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) let the exchange rate depreciate...

Non-Linear Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Emerging Markets

Non-Linear Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Emerging Markets »

Source: Non-Linear Exchange Rate Pass-Through in Emerging Markets

Volume/Issue: 2016/1

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Francesca Caselli , and Agustin Roitman

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 January 2016

ISBN: 9781513578262

Keywords: Non-Linearities, exchange rate, depreciation, inflation targeting, exchange rate movements, Models with Panel Data, General, All Countries,, Exchange rate pass-through, Foreign exchange

This paper estimates exchange rate pass-through to consumer prices in emerging markets focusing on non-linearities and asymmetries. We document non-linearities and asymmetries in the transmission of exchange rate f...

The Role of Interest Rates in Business Cycle Fluctuations in Emerging Market Countries

The Role of Interest Rates in Business Cycle Fluctuations in Emerging Market Countries »

Source: The Role of Interest Rates in Business Cycle Fluctuations in Emerging Market Countries : The Case of Thailand

Volume/Issue: 2006/110

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Ivan Tchakarov , and Selim Elekdag

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2006

ISBN: 9781451863703

Keywords: Exchange rate regimes, Global Economy Model (GEM), financial accelerator, balance sheets, exchange rate, flexible exchange rate, exchange rate regime, bond, bond market, Open Economy Macroeconomics

Emerging market countries have enjoyed an exceptionally favorable economic environment throughout 2004, 2005, and early 2006. In particular, accommodative U.S. monetary policy in recent years has helped create an e...

Exchange-Rate Dark Matter

Exchange-Rate Dark Matter »

Source: Exchange-Rate Dark Matter

Volume/Issue: 2012/66

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Martin Evans

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2012

ISBN: 9781463938437

Keywords: Exchange Rate Dynamics, Open-Economy Macro Models, Habits, Incomplete Markets, risk, consumption, exchange-rate, exchange rates, depreciation, Macroeconomic Aspects Of International Trade And Finance

Dark matter accounts for 83 percent of the matter in the universe and plays a central role in cosmology modeling. This paper argues that an analogous form of dark matter plays a similarly important role in internat...

The Interest Rate-Exchange Rate Nexus in the Asian Crisis Countries

The Interest Rate-Exchange Rate Nexus in the Asian Crisis Countries »

Source: The Interest Rate-Exchange Rate Nexus in the Asian Crisis Countries

Volume/Issue: 2000/19

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Atish Ghosh , and Gabriela Basurto

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2000

ISBN: 9781451843736

Keywords: Asia currency crisis, exchange rate, monetary model, monetary policy, money demand

Sharp exchange rate depreciations in the East Asian crisis countries (Indonesia, Korea, and Thailand) raised doubts about the efficacy of increasing interest rates to defend the currency. Using a standard monetary...

Global Volatility and Forex Returns in East Asia1

Global Volatility and Forex Returns in East Asia1 »

Source: Global Volatility and Forex Returns in East Asia

Volume/Issue: 2008/208

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sanjay Kalra

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2008

ISBN: 9781451870664

Keywords: Forex returns, GARCH models, volatility, exchange rate, standard deviation, statistics, heteroscedasticity,

During 2001-07, increases in mature market volatility were associated with declines in forex returns for East Asian countries, consistent with an overall "flight to safety" effect. Estimates from GARCH models sugge...

Private Information, Capital Flows, and Exchange Rates1

Private Information, Capital Flows, and Exchange Rates1 »

Source: Private Information, Capital Flows, and Exchange Rates

Volume/Issue: 2012/213

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jacob Gyntelberg , Subhanij Tientip , and Mico Loretan

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2012

ISBN: 9781475505634

Keywords: Order flow, private information, exchange rate models, market microstructure, bond, bond market, stock market, bonds,

We demonstrate empirically that not all capital flows influence exchange rates equally: Capital flows induced by foreign investors' stock market transactions have both an economically significant and a permanent im...