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Consensus Forecasts and Inefficient Information Aggregation

Consensus Forecasts and Inefficient Information Aggregation »

Source: Consensus Forecasts and Inefficient Information Aggregation

Volume/Issue: 2010/178

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Christopher Crowe

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2010

ISBN: 9781455201891

Keywords: Consensus Forecasts, Information Aggregation, Forecast Efficiency, efficiency, forecast horizons, forecast errors, forecast horizon, forecast error, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation,

Consensus forecasts are inefficient, over-weighting older information already in the public domain at the expense of new private information, when individual forecasters have different information sets. Using a cro...

Improving Public Infrastructure in the Philippines

Improving Public Infrastructure in the Philippines »

Source: Improving Public Infrastructure in the Philippines

Volume/Issue: 2016/39

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Takuji Komatsuzaki

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 February 2016

ISBN: 9781513515113

Keywords: Public Investment Efficiency, investment, public investment, tax, stock, capital stock, Infrastructures,, Infrastructure, Philippines, Asia and Pacific

This paper explores the macroeconomic effects of improving public infrastructure in the Philippines. After benchmarking the Philippines relative to its neighbors in terms of level of public capital and quality of p...

The Impact of Intersectoral Labor Reallocationon Economic Growth

The Impact of Intersectoral Labor Reallocationon Economic Growth »

Source: The Impact of Intersectoral Labor Reallocationon Economic Growth

Volume/Issue: 2000/104

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Helene Poirson Ward

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2000

ISBN: 9781451852752

Keywords: Growth, labor reallocation, labor efficiency, labor productivity, labor force, labor share

This study seeks to explain economic growth differences in an aggregate production function framework, where labor reallocation from agriculture to modern sectors influences labor efficiency growth. The econometric...

Does Basel Compliance Matter for Bank Performance?1

Does Basel Compliance Matter for Bank Performance?1 »

Source: Does Basel Compliance Matter for Bank Performance?

Volume/Issue: 2015/100

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rym Ayadi , Sami Ben Naceur , Barbara Casu , and Barry Quinn

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 May 2015

ISBN: 9781475580389

Keywords: BCP, Efficiency, Regulatory Compliance, bank, bank performance, interest, banking, Truncated and Censored Models, Government Policy and Regulation,

The global financial crisis underscored the importance of regulation and supervision to a well-functioning banking system that efficiently channels financial resources into investment. In this paper, we contribute...

Efficiency Costs of Myanmar's Multiple Exchange Rate Regime

Efficiency Costs of Myanmar's Multiple Exchange Rate Regime »

Source: Efficiency Costs of Myanmar's Multiple Exchange Rate Regime

Volume/Issue: 2008/199

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Masahiro Hori , and Yu Ching Wong

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2008

ISBN: 9781451870572

Keywords: Multiple Exchange Rate, Efficiency Analysis, exchange rate, foreign exchange, equilibrium exchange rate, exchange rate regime, official exchange rate,

Myanmar's multiple exchange rate system creates various economic distortions. This paper describes the exchange rate practices in Myanmar, develops a model of foreign exchange markets, and presents the efficiency c...

The Quality Effect

The Quality Effect »

Source: The Quality Effect : Does Financial Liberalization Improve the Allocation of Capital?

Volume/Issue: 2004/112

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Abdul Abiad , Nienke Oomes , and Kenichi Ueda

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2004

ISBN: 9781451853636

Keywords: Tobin&;amp;#x2019;s Q, financial liberalization, allocative efficiency, inequality, stock market, financial deepening, stock market turnover, stock market capitalization, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy, General Financial Markets: Government Policy and Regulation,

The study documents evidence of a "quality effect" of financial liberalization on allocative efficiency, which is measured by the dispersion in Tobin's Q across firms. Based on a simple model, the authors predict t...

The Persistence of Corruption and Regulatory Compliance Failures

The Persistence of Corruption and Regulatory Compliance Failures »

Source: The Persistence of Corruption and Regulatory Compliance Failures : Theory and Evidence

Volume/Issue: 2003/172

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Per Fredriksson , Muthukumara Mani , and Richard Damania

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2003

ISBN: 9781451858594

Keywords: rule of law, lobbying, political instability, bureaucracy, judicial efficiency, political stability, political economy, common law, judicial system, Models of Political Processes: Rent-seeking

This paper examines the reasons why corruption and policy distortions tend to exhibit a high degree of persistence in certain regimes. We identify circumstances under which a firm seeks to evade regulations by (1)...

Consensus Forecasts and Inefficient Information Aggregation

Consensus Forecasts and Inefficient Information Aggregation »

Volume/Issue: 2010/178

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Christopher Crowe

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2010

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781455201891.001

ISBN: 9781455201891

Keywords: Consensus Forecasts, Information Aggregation, Forecast Efficiency, efficiency, forecast horizons, forecast errors, forecast horizon, forecast error, Forecasting and Other Model Applications, General Aggregative Models: Forecasting and Simulation,

Consensus forecasts are inefficient, over-weighting older information already in the public domain at the expense of new private information, when individual forecasters have different information sets. Using a cro...

Improving Public Infrastructure in the Philippines

Improving Public Infrastructure in the Philippines »

Volume/Issue: 2016/39

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Takuji Komatsuzaki

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 February 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513515113.001

ISBN: 9781513515113

Keywords: Public Investment Efficiency, investment, public investment, tax, stock, capital stock, Infrastructures,, Infrastructure, Philippines, Asia and Pacific

This paper explores the macroeconomic effects of improving public infrastructure in the Philippines. After benchmarking the Philippines relative to its neighbors in terms of level of public capital and quality of p...

The Impact of Intersectoral Labor Reallocationon Economic Growth

The Impact of Intersectoral Labor Reallocationon Economic Growth »

Volume/Issue: 2000/104

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Helene Poirson Ward

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 June 2000

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781451852752.001

ISBN: 9781451852752

Keywords: Growth, labor reallocation, labor efficiency, labor productivity, labor force, labor share

This study seeks to explain economic growth differences in an aggregate production function framework, where labor reallocation from agriculture to modern sectors influences labor efficiency growth. The econometric...