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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2008, Asia and Pacific

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2008, Asia and Pacific »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 12 April 2008

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781589067103.086

ISBN: 9781589067103

Keywords: recession, domestic demand, export growth, correlations, oil prices

2008 is shaping up as a challenging year for Asia. Activity in most economies remains fairly buoyant, but growth in the United States and, to a lesser extent, Europe is slowing sharply. Given its extensive trade an...

An Econometric Rational Expectations Macroeconomic Model for Developing Countries with Capital Controls

An Econometric Rational Expectations Macroeconomic Model for Developing Countries with Capital Controls »

Source: An Econometric Rational Expectations Macroeconomic Model for Developing Countries with Capital Controls

Volume/Issue: 1990/11

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 1990

ISBN: 9781451925869

Keywords: capital mobility, equation, equations, statistics, correlation

A small macroeconomic model based on familiar theoretical considerations is developed and estimated using data from 31 developing countries. Efficient estimation techniques are used to control for country heterogen...

Corporate Insolvency Procedures and Bank Behavior

Corporate Insolvency Procedures and Bank Behavior »

Source: Corporate Insolvency Procedures and Bank Behavior : A Study of Selected Asian Economies

Volume/Issue: 1999/135

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Qaizar Hussain , and Clas Wihlborg

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 1999

ISBN: 9781451931310

Keywords: Insolvency procedures, Bankruptcy, Capital structure, Shareholder concentration, Firm performance, Asian crisis, insolvency, correlations, correlation, insolvency law

This paper explores insolvency and debt recovery procedures, and political, legal, and institutional factors influencing financial decisions of corporations and banks during pre-crisis years in six Asian economies....

Financial Market Contagion in the Asian Crisis1

Financial Market Contagion in the Asian Crisis1 »

Source: Financial Market Contagion in the Asian Crisis

Volume/Issue: 1998/155

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Taimur Baig , and Ilan Goldfajn

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 November 1998

ISBN: 9781451857283

Keywords: Contagion, Asian Crises, Financial Markets, news, correlations, correlation, dummy variables, significance level

This paper tests for evidence of contagion between the financial markets of Thailand, Malaysia, Indonesia, Korea, and the Philippines. Cross-country correlations among currencies and sovereign spreads are found to...

An Option-Based Approach to Bank Vulnerabilities in Emerging Markets1

An Option-Based Approach to Bank Vulnerabilities in Emerging Markets1 »

Source: An Option-Based Approach to Bank Vulnerabilities in Emerging Markets

Volume/Issue: 2004/33

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Arnaud Jobert , Janet Kong , and Jorge Chan-Lau

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 February 2004

ISBN: 9781451845211

Keywords: Distance-to-default, forecasting, banking, correlation, bank distress, probability,

We measure bank vulnerability in emerging markets using the distance-to-default, a risk-neutral indicator based on Merton's (1974) structural model of credit risk. The indicator is estimated using equity prices and...

The END

The END »

Source: The END : A New Indicator of Financial and Nonfinancial Corporate Sector Vulnerability

Volume/Issue: 2005/231

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jorge Chan-Lau , and Toni Gravelle

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 2005

ISBN: 9781451862508

Keywords: Corporate Vulnerability, Default Probability, probability, probabilities, correlation, International Finance: General,

This paper describes a corporate sector vulnerability indicator, the expected number of defaults (END), based on the joint occurrence of defaults among a number of firms and/or institutions. The END indicator is ge...

A Latent Factor Model with Global, Country, and Industry Shocks for International Stock Returns1

A Latent Factor Model with Global, Country, and Industry Shocks for International Stock Returns1 »

Source: A Latent Factor Model with Global, Country, and Industry Shocks for International Stock Returns

Volume/Issue: 2005/52

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Marco Del Negro , and Robin Brooks

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2005

ISBN: 9781451860719

Keywords: Diversification, risk, stock returns, standard deviation, equation, standard deviations, correlation,

We estimate a latent factor model that decomposes international stock returns into global, country-, and industry-specific shocks and allows for stock-specific exposures to these shocks. We find that across stocks...

Fatal Attraction

Fatal Attraction »

Source: Fatal Attraction : A New Measure of Contagion

Volume/Issue: 2003/80

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tamim Bayoumi , Manmohan Kumar , Giorgio Fazio , and Ronald MacDonald

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2003

ISBN: 9781451850321

Keywords: Contagion, international capital flows, emerging market crises, correlations, correlation, currency crises, asian crisis, International Lending and Debt Problems,

This paper proposes a new measure of contagion that is good at anticipating future vulnerabilities. Building on previous work, it uses correlations of equity markets across countries to measure contagion, but in a...

Trade, Finance, Specialization, and Synchronization

Trade, Finance, Specialization, and Synchronization »

Source: Trade, Finance, Specialization, and Synchronization

Volume/Issue: 2003/81

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Jean Imbs

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 April 2003

ISBN: 9781451850383

Keywords: specialization, financial openness, international business cycle, optimal currency area, financial integration, equation, correlations, correlation, bilateral trade, Open Economy Macroeconomics,

The paper investigates the determinants of business cycles synchronization across regions. It uses both international and intranational data to evaluate the linkages between trade in goods, trade in financial asset...

Measuring and Analyzing Sovereign Risk with Contingent Claims

Measuring and Analyzing Sovereign Risk with Contingent Claims »

Source: Measuring and Analyzing Sovereign Risk with Contingent Claims

Volume/Issue: 2005/155

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Michael Gapen , Dale Gray , Cheng Lim , and Yingbin Xiao

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2005

ISBN: 9781451861747

Keywords: contingent claims, probability, currency debt, foreign currency debt, domestic currency, correlation,

This paper develops a comprehensive new framework to measure and analyze sovereign risk. Since traditional macroeconomic vulnerability indicators and accounting-based measures do not address risk in a comprehensive...