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Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Asia and Pacific
			: Navigating an Uncertain Global Environment While Building Inclusive Growth

Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Asia and Pacific : Navigating an Uncertain Global Environment While Building Inclusive Growth »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 October 2011

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781616351274.086

ISBN: 9781616351274

Keywords: inflation, financial integration, monetary policy, monetary fund, contagion

In line with the weaker global outlook, growth in Asia is expected to be slightly lower in 2011-12 than forecast in April 2011, mainly as a result of weakening external demand, but the expansion should remain healt...

Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises--The Role of Early Warning Systems
			: The Role of Early Warning Systems

Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises--The Role of Early Warning Systems : The Role of Early Warning Systems »

Series: Occasional Papers

Author(s): Catherine Pattillo , Andrew Berg , Gian Milesi-Ferretti , and Eduardo Borensztein

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 January 2000

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781557758286.084

ISBN: 9781557758286

Keywords: currency crises, probability, balance of payments, contagion, currency crisis

Recent years have witnessed an increase in the frequency of currency and balance of payments crises in developing countries. More important, the crises have become more virulent, have caused widespread disruption t...

Sources of Contagion

Sources of Contagion »

Source: Sources of Contagion : Finance or Trade?

Volume/Issue: 1999/146

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 1999

ISBN: 9781451856620

Keywords: Contagion, currency crisis, financial spillovers, competition, financial contagion

This paper presents evidence that spillovers through bank lending, as opposed to trade linkages and country characteristics, can help explain contagion. We construct a measure of competition for bank funds and find...

The East Asian Crisis

The East Asian Crisis »

Source: The East Asian Crisis : Macroeconomic Developments and Policy Lessons

Volume/Issue: 1998/128

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kalpana Kochhar , Prakash Loungani , and Mark Stone

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 1998

ISBN: 9781451935547

Keywords: crisis countries, exchange rate, asian crisis, exchange rates, contagion

This paper reviews macroeconomic developments during the first year of the crisis in east Asia and draws some preliminary policy lessons. The crisis is rooted in the interaction of large capital inflows and weak pr...

Contagion

Contagion »

Source: Contagion : Monsoonal Effects, Spillovers, and Jumps Between Multiple Equilibria

Volume/Issue: 1998/142

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paul Masson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 1998

ISBN: 9781451856224

Keywords: contagion, spillovers, multiple equilibria, currency crises, debt crisis, competitiveness

Several concepts of contagion are distinguished. It is argued that only models that admit of multiple equilibria are capable of producing true contagion. A simple balance of payments model is presented to illustrat...

Determinants of Private Capital Flows in the 1970's and 1990's

Determinants of Private Capital Flows in the 1970's and 1990's »

Source: Determinants of Private Capital Flows in the 1970's and 1990's : Is there Evidence of Contagion?

Volume/Issue: 2001/64

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rodrigo Valdes , Leonardo Hernández , and Pamela Melado

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2001

ISBN: 9781451848564

Keywords: contagion, capital flows, capital inflows, private capital flows, private capital

This paper studies the determinants of private capital flows to developing countries during the last two episodes of large inflows, the late 1970s-early 1980s and the 1990s. The paper also tests for contagion effec...

The Uncertainty Channel of Contagion

The Uncertainty Channel of Contagion »

Source: The Uncertainty Channel of Contagion

Volume/Issue: 2009/219

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Prakash Kannan , and Fritzi Köhler-Geib

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2009

ISBN: 9781451873665

Keywords: investors, contagion, crisis country, rate of return, currency crises

The 2007 subprime crisis in the U.S. triggered a succession of financial crises around the globe, reigniting interest in the contagion phenomenon. Not all crises, however, are contagious. This paper models a new ch...

Risk Sharing and Financial Contagion in Asia

Risk Sharing and Financial Contagion in Asia »

Source: Risk Sharing and Financial Contagion in Asia : An Asset Price Perspective

Volume/Issue: 2011/242

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2011

ISBN: 9781463922634

Keywords: risk sharing, contagion, affine term structure model, financial contagion, stochastic discount, bond, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration,

This paper assesses financial integration in Asia in terms of risk-sharing benefit versus financial-contagion cost. We construct a new measure of risk sharing based on a term structure model, which allows identific...

II. Drivers and Implications of Rapid Credit Growth in Emerging Asia

II. Drivers and Implications of Rapid Credit Growth in Emerging Asia »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Asia and Pacific : Navigating an Uncertain Global Environment While Building Inclusive Growth

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 October 2011

ISBN: 9781616351274

Keywords: inflation, financial integration, monetary policy, monetary fund, contagion

Figure 2.1). This may raise some concerns because, historically, episodes of rapid credit growth in Asia have been characterized by a higher incidence of crises relative to other...

III. Asia’s Quest for Inclusive Growth

III. Asia’s Quest for Inclusive Growth »

Source: Regional Economic Outlook, October 2011, Asia and Pacific : Navigating an Uncertain Global Environment While Building Inclusive Growth

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 October 2011

ISBN: 9781616351274

Keywords: inflation, financial integration, monetary policy, monetary fund, contagion

Rajan 2010)....