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Regional Economic Outlook, April 2020, Middle East and Central Asia

Regional Economic Outlook, April 2020, Middle East and Central Asia »

Series: Regional Economic Outlook

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 15 April 2020

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513536811.086

ISBN: 9781513536811

Keywords: Regional Economic Outlook, Middle East and Central Asia, Economic growth, Oil prices, Market economies, Regional economics, Fiscal policy, Financial crisis, Oil crisis, Crisis management strategies

Countries of the Middle East and Central Asia region have been hit by two large and reinforcing shocks, resulting in significantly weaker growth projections in 2020. In addition to the devastating toll on human hea...

Bank Capital and Lending: An Extended Framework and Evidence of Nonlinearity

Bank Capital and Lending: An Extended Framework and Evidence of Nonlinearity »

Source: Bank Capital and Lending: An Extended Framework and Evidence of Nonlinearity

Volume/Issue: 2017/252

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Mario Catalan , Alexander Hoffmaister , and Cicilia Anggadewi Harun

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 November 2017

ISBN: 9781484325995

Keywords: Financial crises, Indonesia, Asia and Pacific, Bank capital; Bank lending; Financial shocks; Transmission mechanisms, Bank capital, Bank lending, Financial shocks, Transmission mechanisms, Government Policy and Regulation, Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy

This paper studies the transmission of bank capital shocks to loan supply in Indonesia. A series of theoretically founded dynamic panel data models are estimated and find nonlinear effects of capital on loan growth...

Global Financial Spillovers to Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Markets1

Global Financial Spillovers to Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Markets1 »

Source: Global Financial Spillovers to Emerging Market Sovereign Bond Markets

Volume/Issue: 2015/141

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Christian Ebeke , and Annette Kyobe

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 26 June 2015

ISBN: 9781513552750

Keywords: Financial shocks, EM bond markets, Non-linearity, markets, currency, bond, holdings,

Foreign holdings of emerging markets (EMs) government bonds have increased substantially over the last decade. While foreign participation in local-currency sovereign bond markets provides an additional source of f...

Vietnam: Selected Issues

Vietnam: Selected Issues »

Source: Vietnam : Selected Issues

Volume/Issue: 2017/191

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 July 2017

ISBN: 9781484307571

Keywords: External shocks, Climatic changes, Financial sector, Economic growth, Credit expansion, Financial stability, Economic models, Selected issues, Vietnam

This Selected Issues paper analyzes the impact of environment and climate change on Vietnam's economic growth. Vietnam's economy and population are expected to be increasingly affected by climate change. In additio...

Vietnam: Selected Issues

Vietnam: Selected Issues »

Source: Vietnam : Selected Issues

Volume/Issue: 2017/191

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 July 2017

ISBN: 9781484307571

Keywords: External shocks, Climatic changes, Financial sector, Economic growth, Credit expansion, Financial stability, Economic models, Selected issues, Vietnam

This Selected Issues paper analyzes the impact of environment and climate change on Vietnam's economic growth. Vietnam's economy and population are expected to be increasingly affected by climate change. In additio...

Vietnam: Selected Issues

Vietnam: Selected Issues »

Source: Vietnam : Selected Issues

Volume/Issue: 2017/191

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 July 2017

ISBN: 9781484307571

Keywords: External shocks, Climatic changes, Financial sector, Economic growth, Credit expansion, Financial stability, Economic models, Selected issues, Vietnam

This Selected Issues paper analyzes the impact of environment and climate change on Vietnam's economic growth. Vietnam's economy and population are expected to be increasingly affected by climate change. In additio...

Vietnam: Selected Issues

Vietnam: Selected Issues »

Source: Vietnam : Selected Issues

Volume/Issue: 2017/191

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 05 July 2017

ISBN: 9781484307571

Keywords: External shocks, Climatic changes, Financial sector, Economic growth, Credit expansion, Financial stability, Economic models, Selected issues, Vietnam

This Selected Issues paper analyzes the impact of environment and climate change on Vietnam's economic growth. Vietnam's economy and population are expected to be increasingly affected by climate change. In additio...

Disclosing Fiscal Risks in the Post-Crisis World

Disclosing Fiscal Risks in the Post-Crisis World »

Source: Disclosing Fiscal Risks in the Post-Crisis World

Volume/Issue: 2009/18

Series: IMF Staff Position Notes

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 16 July 2009

ISBN: 9781455241125

Keywords: External shocks, Financial risk, Financial sector, Financial systems, Contingent liabilities, Fiscal sector, Fiscal policy, Public debt, Transparency, disclosure of information

This paper discusses appropriate methods for disclosing fiscal risks from exogenous shocks and the realization of explicit or implicit contingent obligations of the government. Expanding on previous guidance prepar...

Default, Credit Growth, and Asset Prices

Default, Credit Growth, and Asset Prices »

Source: Default, Credit Growth, and Asset Prices

Volume/Issue: 2006/223

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): C. Goodhart , Miguel Segoviano Basurto , and Boris Hofmann

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 2006

ISBN: 9781451864830

Keywords: Probability of default, macroeconomic shocks, financial surveillance, banking, bank lending, probability, Econometric Modeling: General, Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: Forecasting and Simulation

This paper uses a Merton-type estimate of the probability of default (PoD) for the main banks in a sample of Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development and middle-income countries as a proxy for the frag...

Rainfall, Financial Development, and Remittances

Rainfall, Financial Development, and Remittances »

Source: Rainfall, Financial Development, and Remittances : Evidence From Sub-Saharan Africa

Volume/Issue: 2011/153

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rabah Arezki , and Markus Bruckner

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 July 2011

ISBN: 9781455290666

Keywords: Transitory Income Shocks, Financial Development, significance level, fixed effects, dependent variable, International Factor Movements and International Business: General, International Finance: General, Economic Development: General,

We use annual variation in rainfall to examine the effects that exogenous, transitory income shocks have on remittances in a panel of 42 Sub-Saharan African countries during the period 1960-2007. Our main finding i...