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Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises--The Role of Early Warning Systems
			: The Role of Early Warning Systems

Anticipating Balance of Payments Crises--The Role of Early Warning Systems : The Role of Early Warning Systems »

Series: Occasional Papers

Author(s): Catherine Pattillo , Andrew Berg , Gian Milesi-Ferretti , and Eduardo Borensztein

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 24 January 2000

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781557758286.084

ISBN: 9781557758286

Keywords: currency crises, probability, balance of payments, contagion, currency crisis

Recent years have witnessed an increase in the frequency of currency and balance of payments crises in developing countries. More important, the crises have become more virulent, have caused widespread disruption t...

Sources of Contagion

Sources of Contagion »

Source: Sources of Contagion : Finance or Trade?

Volume/Issue: 1999/146

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): International Monetary Fund

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 1999

ISBN: 9781451856620

Keywords: Contagion, currency crisis, financial spillovers, competition, financial contagion

This paper presents evidence that spillovers through bank lending, as opposed to trade linkages and country characteristics, can help explain contagion. We construct a measure of competition for bank funds and find...

The East Asian Crisis

The East Asian Crisis »

Source: The East Asian Crisis : Macroeconomic Developments and Policy Lessons

Volume/Issue: 1998/128

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Kalpana Kochhar , Prakash Loungani , and Mark Stone

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 September 1998

ISBN: 9781451935547

Keywords: crisis countries, exchange rate, asian crisis, exchange rates, contagion

This paper reviews macroeconomic developments during the first year of the crisis in east Asia and draws some preliminary policy lessons. The crisis is rooted in the interaction of large capital inflows and weak pr...

The Uncertainty Channel of Contagion

The Uncertainty Channel of Contagion »

Source: The Uncertainty Channel of Contagion

Volume/Issue: 2009/219

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Prakash Kannan , and Fritzi Köhler-Geib

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2009

ISBN: 9781451873665

Keywords: investors, contagion, crisis country, rate of return, currency crises

The 2007 subprime crisis in the U.S. triggered a succession of financial crises around the globe, reigniting interest in the contagion phenomenon. Not all crises, however, are contagious. This paper models a new ch...

Determinants of Private Capital Flows in the 1970's and 1990's

Determinants of Private Capital Flows in the 1970's and 1990's »

Source: Determinants of Private Capital Flows in the 1970's and 1990's : Is there Evidence of Contagion?

Volume/Issue: 2001/64

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rodrigo Valdes , Leonardo Hernández , and Pamela Melado

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 May 2001

ISBN: 9781451848564

Keywords: contagion, capital flows, capital inflows, private capital flows, private capital

This paper studies the determinants of private capital flows to developing countries during the last two episodes of large inflows, the late 1970s-early 1980s and the 1990s. The paper also tests for contagion effec...

Risk Sharing and Financial Contagion in Asia

Risk Sharing and Financial Contagion in Asia »

Source: Risk Sharing and Financial Contagion in Asia : An Asset Price Perspective

Volume/Issue: 2011/242

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Phurichai Rungcharoenkitkul

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 October 2011

ISBN: 9781463922634

Keywords: risk sharing, contagion, affine term structure model, financial contagion, stochastic discount, bond, Financial Aspects of Economic Integration,

This paper assesses financial integration in Asia in terms of risk-sharing benefit versus financial-contagion cost. We construct a new measure of risk sharing based on a term structure model, which allows identific...

Timing of International Bailouts

Timing of International Bailouts »

Source: Timing of International Bailouts

Volume/Issue: 2004/9

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Se-Jik Kim

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 January 2004

ISBN: 9781451842623

Keywords: International lender of last resort, crisis contagion, information asymmetry, crisis prevention, contagion, international crisis, International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions, International Lending and Debt Problems,

This paper proposes that international rescue financing should not be provided to a country where a crisis first occurs, but rather to any country that suffers a subsequent crisis. Such a timing-based lending facil...

The Asset Allocation of Emerging Market Mutual Funds

The Asset Allocation of Emerging Market Mutual Funds »

Source: The Asset Allocation of Emerging Market Mutual Funds

Volume/Issue: 2001/111

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Piti Disyatat , and R. Gelos

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 August 2001

ISBN: 9781451853476

Keywords: asset allocation, portfolio choice, contagion, statistic, risk aversion, optimization, correlation, covariance,

Benchmark following and portfolio rebalancing effects have often been cited when trying to explain international financial contagion phenomena. Using a dataset containing the country allocation of individual dedica...

Multiple Equilibria, Contagion, and the Emerging Market Crises

Multiple Equilibria, Contagion, and the Emerging Market Crises »

Source: Multiple Equilibria, Contagion, and the Emerging Market Crises

Volume/Issue: 1999/164

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Paul Masson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 December 1999

ISBN: 9781451857979

Keywords: contagion, multiple equilibria, currency crisis, capital flows, speculative attack, capital account liberalization, bank runs

The paper surveys the types of models producing multiple equilibria in financial markets. It argues that such models are consistent with observed phenomena, such as the greater volatility of financial asset prices...

What Drives Contagion

What Drives Contagion »

Source: What Drives Contagion : Trade Neighborhood, or Financial Links?

Volume/Issue: 2001/29

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Rodrigo Valdes , and Leonardo Hernández

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 01 March 2001

ISBN: 9781451844801

Keywords: Contagion, Bond Spreads, Stock Market, Crisis Transmission, bond, sovereign bond, International Finance: General,

This paper presents evidence on the relative importance of alternative contagion channels during the Thai, Russian, and Brazilian crises. Results show that when crises are measured by changes in sovereign bond spre...