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Breaking the Oil Spell

The Gulf Falcons' Path to Diversification

This book discusses efforts by GCC countries to diversify their economies, and takes lessons from other countries that have generated long-term growth.

When China Sneezes Does ASEAN Catch a Cold?

When China Sneezes Does ASEAN Catch a Cold? »

Volume/Issue: 2016/214

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Sohrab Rafiq

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 10 November 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475552607.001

ISBN: 9781475552607

Keywords: Cambodia, Cambodia, China, Cross country analysis, Association of Southeast Asian Nations, Emerging markets, Economic integration, Economic growth, Philippines, Indonesia

This paper looks at the effects of a China slowdown on Emerging Market Economies (Indonesia, Malaysia, and Thailand) and Frontier Developing Economies (Cambodia, Lao P.D.R., and Vietnam) in ASEAN. The main finding...

Spillovers from China's Growth Slowdown and Rebalancing to the ASEAN-5 Economies

Spillovers from China's Growth Slowdown and Rebalancing to the ASEAN-5 Economies »

Volume/Issue: 2016/170

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Allan Dizioli , Jaime Guajardo , Vladimir Klyuev , Rui Mano , and Mehdi Raissi

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 09 August 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475524260.001

ISBN: 9781475524260

Keywords: China’;s slowdown and rebalancing, international business cycle, spillovers, Global VAR, Flexible System of Global Models (FSGM), ASEAN-5.

After many years of rapid expansion, China's growth is slowing to more sustainable levels and is rebalancing, with consumption becoming the main growth driver. This transition is likely to have negative effects on...

Evolution of Exchange Rate Behavior in the ASEAN-5 Countries

Evolution of Exchange Rate Behavior in the ASEAN-5 Countries »

Volume/Issue: 2016/165

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Vladimir Klyuev , and To-Nhu Dao

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 August 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475523867.001

ISBN: 9781475523867

Keywords: Exchange rate regimes; exchange rate volatility; fear of floating; currency blocks; ASEAN

This paper examines exchange rate behavior in the ASEAN-5 countries (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Thailand). It finds that for the last 10 years there is no evidence that their central banks...

Singapore
			: Selected Issues

Singapore : Selected Issues »

Volume/Issue: 2016/264

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 July 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475521085.002

ISBN: 9781475521085

This Selected Issues paper develops a new calibrated model of the Singapore economy, the Singapore Global Policy MODel (SGPMOD), and uses it to conduct a variety of policy experiments focused on the conduct of mone...

Singapore
			: 2016 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Singapore

Singapore : 2016 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Singapore »

Volume/Issue: 2016/263

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 July 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781475521047.002

ISBN: 9781475521047

This 2016 Article IV Consultation highlights that Singapore's economy continues to perform well despite being hit by a combination of cyclical and structural factors, originating both at home and abroad. Growth mod...

Asean-5 Cluster Report
			: Evolution of Monetary Policy Frameworks

Asean-5 Cluster Report : Evolution of Monetary Policy Frameworks »

Volume/Issue: 2016/176

Series: IMF Staff Country Reports

Author(s): International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 30 June 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498308748.002

ISBN: 9781498308748

Keywords: Monetary policy, Association of Southeast Asian Nations, Central banks, Business cycles, Capital outflows, Cross country analysis, Indonesia, Singapore, Malaysia, Thailand

This paper examines the evolution of monetary policy frameworks of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN)-5 economies, with particular focus on changes since the Asian financial crisis and the more rece...

Singapore's Export Elasticities
			: A Disaggregated Look into the Role of Global Value Chains and Economic Complexity

Singapore's Export Elasticities : A Disaggregated Look into the Role of Global Value Chains and Economic Complexity »

Volume/Issue: 2016/52

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Elif Arbatli , and Gee Hee Hong

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 07 March 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513556901.001

ISBN: 9781513556901

Keywords: Trade elasticities, trade structure, global supply chain, economic complexity, trade, value, exports, price, share, Input-Output Analysis

Singapore is one of the world's most open economies, with the size of its trade reaching about 350 percent of its GDP. With the rise of highly diversified cross-border production networks, Singapore has come to pla...

Cost-Benefit Analysis of Leaning Against the Wind

Cost-Benefit Analysis of Leaning Against the Wind »

Volume/Issue: 2016/3

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Lars Svensson

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 11 January 2016

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781498314787.001

ISBN: 9781498314787

Keywords: macroprudential policy, unemployment, unemployment rate, debt, marginal cost, benchmark, Monetary Policy (Targets, Instruments, and Effects), All Countries

“Leaning against the wind” (LAW) with a higher monetary policy interest rate may have benefits in terms of lower real debt growth and associated lower probability of a financial crisis but has costs in terms of hig...

The Challenge of Public Pension Reform in Advanced and Emerging Economies

The Challenge of Public Pension Reform in Advanced and Emerging Economies »

Series: Occasional Papers

Author(s): Benedict Clements , David Coady , Frank Eich , Sanjeev Gupta , Alvar Kangur , Baoping Shang , and Mauricio Soto

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 08 January 2016

Language: Chinese

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9787504979971.084

ISBN: 9787504979971

Keywords: Pension reforms, Developed countries, Emerging markets, Pensions, Government expenditures, Cross country analysis, emerging market economies, retirement, pensions, pension spending

Pension reform is high on the policy agenda of many advanced and emerging market economies. In advanced economies the challenge is generally to contain future increases in public pension spending as the population...

The Impact of Global Liquidity on Financial Landscapes and Risks in the ASEAN-5 Countries

The Impact of Global Liquidity on Financial Landscapes and Risks in the ASEAN-5 Countries »

Volume/Issue: 2015/211

Series: IMF Working Papers

Author(s): Tao Sun

Publisher: INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Publication Date: 29 September 2015

DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.5089/9781513543734.001

ISBN: 9781513543734

Keywords: financial landscape, liquidity, debt, security, international debt security, International Lending and Debt Problems, financial stability.,

This paper analyzes the transmission of global liquidity to the ASEAN-5 countries (ASEAN-5), including the impact on financial landscapes and risks to financial stability. It finds that global liquidity transmissio...